Latvia
vs
Cyprus
0 – 0 Full time
| 14′ | Vladislavs Gutkovskis | ||
| 62′ | Giannis Kosti | ||
| 66′ | Nicholas Tsaroulla | ||
| 69′ | Konstantinos Sotiriou | ||
| 74′ | Loizos LoizouMarinos Tzionis | ||
| 74′ | Kostakis ArtymatasHector Kyprianou | ||
| 78′ | Vladislavs GutkovskisEduards Daskevics | ||
| 78′ | Eduards EmsisMarkuss Strods | ||
| 85′ | Nicholas TsaroullaKostas Pileas | ||
| 86′ | Giannis KostiAndronikos Kakoullis | ||
| 88′ | Antonijs Černomordijs | ||
| 88′ | Ioannis Pittas |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 33 | Possession % | 67 |
| 4 | Corners | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 0 |
| 204 | Accurate passes | 472 |
Latvia vs Cyprus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Latvia vs Cyprus
| Probability | Latvia | Draw | Cyprus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.7% | 22.1% | 63.2% |
| Market | 36.1% | 30.3% | 33.6% |
| Final | 30.8% | 28.3% | 41.0% |
| Edge | -21.4% | -8.2% | +29.7% |
Why Cyprus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Cyprus below the model: +29.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Latvia and Cyprus expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.99
Latvia and Cyprus attack and defence ratings
Latvia
Cyprus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Latvia vs Cyprus: result vs prediction
Latvia 0 – 0 Cyprus
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League C - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Latvia vs Cyprus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cyprus | 41.0% | 2.44 | +29.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Cyprus win | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Latvia | 30.8% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Cyprus | 41.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% |
| No | 46.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cyprus win | 40.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 36.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 10.8% |
| 1-1 | 10.5% | |
| 1-2 | 9.9% |
Latvia vs Cyprus stats
Latvia vs Cyprus head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-21 | Cyprus | Latvia | Friendlies | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Latvia vs Cyprus odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.1%, draw 30.3%, away 33.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.69 | 3.22 | 2.86 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.67 | 3.10 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 2.88 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.66 | 3.18 | 2.83 |
| Pinnacle | 2.75 | 2.99 | 2.94 |
| SBO | 2.37 | 2.82 | 2.54 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
21 snapshots recorded, from .