Armenia
vs
Montenegro
2 – 3 Full time
| 20′ | Erik Piloyan | ||
| 34′ | Artur Serobyan | ||
| 38′ | Nikola Krstović | ||
| 45′ | Zhirayr Shaghoyannarek hovhannisyan | ||
| 46′ | Artur Serobyan | ||
| 54′ | Dušan VukovićMarko Vešović | ||
| 55′ | Artur MiranyanArtur Gharibyan | ||
| 55′ | Ugochukwu Iwukarlen hovhannisyan | ||
| 59′ | Milutin Osmajić | ||
| 65′ | Eduard Spertsyan | ||
| 68′ | Stefan LoncarVasilije Adzic | ||
| 68′ | Ognjen GasevicRisto Radunović | ||
| 69′ | milan roganovicAleksa Latkovic | ||
| 70′ | Artur SerobyanEdgar Sevikyan | ||
| 76′ | Edgar Sevikyan | ||
| 79′ | Milutin OsmajićStevan Jovetić | ||
| 82′ | Aleksa Latkovic | ||
| 89′ | Aleksa Latkovic | ||
| 90′ | Erik PiloyanGor Manvelyan |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 418 | Accurate passes | 332 |
Armenia vs Montenegro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Armenia vs Montenegro
| Probability | Armenia | Draw | Montenegro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.9% | 21.0% | 61.1% |
| Market | 32.8% | 29.5% | 37.7% |
| Final | 29.1% | 27.4% | 43.6% |
| Edge | -14.9% | -8.5% | +23.3% |
Why Montenegro
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.19.
- The market prices Montenegro below the model: +23.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Armenia and Montenegro expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.47
Armenia and Montenegro attack and defence ratings
Armenia
Montenegro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Armenia vs Montenegro: result vs prediction
Armenia 2 – 3 Montenegro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League C - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Armenia vs Montenegro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Montenegro | 43.6% | 2.29 | +23.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Montenegro win | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Armenia | 29.1% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Montenegro | 43.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% |
| No | 36.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Montenegro win | 39.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 38.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.6% |
| 1-1 | 9.3% | |
| 0-2 | 8.1% |
Armenia vs Montenegro stats
Armenia and Montenegro recent form
| Armenia |
WLLLLW |
| Montenegro |
WLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Armenia vs Montenegro head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-09 | Montenegro | Armenia | Friendlies | 2-2 |
| 2022-03-24 | Armenia | Montenegro | Friendlies | 1-0 |
| 2017-06-10 | Montenegro | Armenia | World Cup - Qualification Europe | 4-1 |
| 2016-11-11 | Armenia | Montenegro | World Cup - Qualification Europe | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Armenia vs Montenegro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.8%, draw 29.5%, away 37.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.94 | 3.38 | 2.53 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.20 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.95 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 2.90 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 2.91 | 3.34 | 2.50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.55 |
| SBO | 2.73 | 2.89 | 2.18 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
21 snapshots recorded, from .