Moldova
vs
Faroe Islands
1 – 1 Full time
| 26′ | Viljormur Davidsen | ||
| 45′ | Dmitri MandricencoNicky Clescenco | ||
| 52′ | Vladyslav BabogloVadim Rață | ||
| 52′ | Danila ForovSergiu Perciun | ||
| 52′ | Victor StinaNikita Motpan | ||
| 61′ | Géza Dávid TuriPetur Knudsen | ||
| 61′ | hanus SorensenJóannes Bjartalíð | ||
| 62′ | Andrias Edmundsson | ||
| 66′ | Sergiu Perciun | ||
| 74′ | Vladimir FrateaŞtefan Bodişteanu | ||
| 75′ | Viljormur DavidsenMartin Agnarsson | ||
| 85′ | Áki SamuelsenAron Benjaminsen | ||
| 85′ | Mattias HellisdalEmil Weihe Joensen |
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 70 | Possession % | 30 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 533 | Accurate passes | 186 |
Moldova vs Faroe Islands overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Moldova vs Faroe Islands
| Probability | Moldova | Draw | Faroe Islands |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 5.0% | 12.6% | 82.4% |
| Market | 32.4% | 32.2% | 35.5% |
| Final | 25.5% | 27.3% | 47.2% |
| Edge | -27.4% | -19.6% | +46.9% |
Why Faroe Islands
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.88 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Faroe Islands below the model: +46.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Moldova and Faroe Islands expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.52
Moldova and Faroe Islands attack and defence ratings
Moldova
Faroe Islands
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Moldova vs Faroe Islands: result vs prediction
Moldova 1 – 1 Faroe Islands
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League C - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Moldova vs Faroe Islands markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Faroe Islands | 47.2% | 2.12 | +46.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Faroe Islands win | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Moldova | 25.5% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Faroe Islands | 47.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.1% |
| No | 54.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Faroe Islands win | 63.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 17.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 12.3% |
| 0-3 | 11.8% | |
| 0-4 | 8.5% |
Moldova vs Faroe Islands stats
Moldova and Faroe Islands recent form
| Moldova |
LLLDLL |
| Faroe Islands |
DLWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Moldova vs Faroe Islands head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-10 | Faroe Islands | Moldova | Euro Championship - Qualification | 0-1 |
| 2023-03-24 | Moldova | Faroe Islands | Euro Championship - Qualification | 1-1 |
| 2021-09-07 | Faroe Islands | Moldova | World Cup - Qualification Europe | 2-1 |
| 2021-03-25 | Moldova | Faroe Islands | World Cup - Qualification Europe | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Moldova vs Faroe Islands odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.4%, draw 32.2%, away 35.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.89 | 3.18 | 2.69 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.92 | 2.90 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.63 |
| Marathonbet | 2.86 | 3.15 | 2.66 |
| Pinnacle | 3.00 | 2.92 | 2.76 |
| SBO | 2.57 | 2.77 | 2.50 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 2.90 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
23 snapshots recorded, from .