UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League C - 2

Slovakia vs Kazakhstan

2 – 1 Full time

6′Ramazan·Karimov
26′Leo Sauer
28′David Strelec
35′Ramazan·Karimov
43′Islambek Kuat
45′Ismail BekbolatAleksandr Mrynskiy
60′stanislav basmanovGalymzhan Kenzhebek
60′Zhasulan AmirRamazan Orazov
66′Leo SauerTomas Bobcek
69′Martin Valjent
72′Islambek KuatDamir Kasabulat
75′David StrelecRóbert Boženík
75′Lukáš HaraslínIvan Schranz
82′Dávid Hancko
86′Arsen AshirbekElkhan Astanov
90′Martin ValjentDavid Duris
90′Tomas SuslovTomas Rigo

Kosicka futbalova arena, KosiceReferee: Patrik Kolaric

Slovakia 65%
Draw 19%
Kazakhstan 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 2
75 Possession % 25
8 Corners 1
8 Fouls 18
3 Offsides 0
1 Saves 6
630 Accurate passes 165

Slovakia vs Kazakhstan overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Slovakia vs Kazakhstan

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySlovakiaDrawKazakhstan
Model33.3%25.7%41.0%
Market76.2%16.1%7.7%
Final65.5%18.5%16.0%
Edge-42.9%+9.5%+33.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Slovakia

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Slovakia ↓ / Kazakhstan → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 11% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Slovakia and Kazakhstan expected goals

Slovakia 1.51
Kazakhstan 1.69

Total expected goals: 3.20

Slovakia and Kazakhstan attack and defence ratings

Slovakia

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Kazakhstan

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Slovakia vs Kazakhstan: result vs prediction

Slovakia 2 – 1 Kazakhstan

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League C - 2 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Slovakia vs Kazakhstan markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Slovakia 65.5% 1.53 -42.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.9% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.8% 1.57 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.0% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.4% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Slovakia65.5%
Draw18.5%
Kazakhstan16.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.9%
Under 2.539.1%
Both teams to scoreYes63.8%
No36.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.0%
12 (either side)81.5%
X2 (draw or away)34.5%
Handicap -1Slovakia win16.5%
Push (exactly one goal)17.2%
Loss66.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
1-28.8%
2-17.9%

Slovakia vs Kazakhstan stats

Slovakia and Kazakhstan recent form

newest first
Slovakia WLLWWL
Kazakhstan DDDWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Slovakia vs Kazakhstan head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Slovakia wins 0Draws 2Kazakhstan wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-06-13KazakhstanSlovakiaUEFA Nations League2-1
2022-06-06SlovakiaKazakhstanUEFA Nations League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Slovakia vs Kazakhstan odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 76.2%, draw 16.1%, away 7.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.27 5.91 12.90
Bet365 1.22 6.50 11.00
BetVictor 1.22 6.00 13.00
Betano 1.27 6.00 14.00
Betfair 1.20 5.00 12.00
Marathonbet 1.26 5.85 12.75
Pinnacle 1.26 6.01 12.41
SBO 1.24 4.72 8.30
William Hill 1.25 5.00 11.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.25 ▼ -0.04
X 5.91 ▲ +1.31
2 12.41 ▲ +2.41

24 snapshots recorded, from .