Finland
vs
Belarus
0 – 0 Full time
| 45′ | Glen KamaraDaniel Håkans | ||
| 59′ | Joel PohjanpaloBenjamin Källman | ||
| 61′ | Artem Shumanskiy | ||
| 61′ | Artem ShumanskiyAnton Kovalev | ||
| 61′ | German BarkovskiyTrofim Melnichenko | ||
| 62′ | Vitali LisakovichValeri Gromyko | ||
| 66′ | Leo WaltaAnssi Suhonen | ||
| 66′ | Adam MarkhievSanteri Väänänen | ||
| 71′ | Anton Lukashov | ||
| 72′ | Kaan Kairinen | ||
| 86′ | Adam Stahl | ||
| 87′ | Aleksandr SelyavaEvgeni Yablonski | ||
| 88′ | Topi Keskinenadrian svanback |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 61 | Possession % | 39 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 440 | Accurate passes | 244 |
Finland vs Belarus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Finland vs Belarus
| Probability | Finland | Draw | Belarus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.1% | 23.7% | 22.2% |
| Market | 60.7% | 24.8% | 14.5% |
| Final | 59.1% | 24.5% | 16.4% |
| Edge | -6.7% | -1.1% | +7.8% |
Why Finland
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Finland and Belarus expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.20
Finland and Belarus attack and defence ratings
Finland
Belarus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Finland vs Belarus: result vs prediction
Finland 0 – 0 Belarus
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League C - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Finland vs Belarus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Finland | 59.1% | 1.69 | -6.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Finland | 59.1% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Belarus | 16.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.7% |
| No | 38.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Finland win | 32.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 45.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.0% |
Finland vs Belarus stats
Finland vs Belarus head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-06-09 | Finland | Belarus | Friendlies | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Finland vs Belarus odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.7%, draw 24.8%, away 14.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 3.98 | 6.62 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 3.80 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 3.50 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 3.94 | 6.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 3.96 | 6.73 |
| SBO | 1.53 | 3.37 | 5.03 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 3.60 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .