Bulgaria
vs
Estonia
0 – 0 Full time
| 9′ | Dimitar Velkovski | ||
| 37′ | Borislav Tsonev | ||
| 45′ | karel mustmaaMattias Männilaan | ||
| 45′ | Borislav TsonevAsen Chandarov | ||
| 45′ | Zdravko DimitrovKristiyan Balov | ||
| 45′ | Kristiyan StoyanovP. Panayotov | ||
| 48′ | Maksim Paskotsi | ||
| 58′ | Mattias KäitMartin Miller | ||
| 58′ | Markus SoometsKevor Palumets | ||
| 70′ | Marin Plamenov·PetkovStanislav Ivanov | ||
| 73′ | Ivan TuritsovYoan Stoyanov | ||
| 74′ | Robi SaarmaFrank Liivak | ||
| 89′ | Patrik Kristal | ||
| 89′ | Kristian Dimitrov |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 26 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 358 | Accurate passes | 276 |
Bulgaria vs Estonia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bulgaria vs Estonia
| Probability | Bulgaria | Draw | Estonia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.0% | 24.7% | 46.3% |
| Market | 53.6% | 27.6% | 18.8% |
| Final | 47.5% | 26.9% | 25.6% |
| Edge | -24.6% | -2.9% | +27.5% |
Why Bulgaria
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bulgaria and Estonia expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.30
Bulgaria and Estonia attack and defence ratings
Bulgaria
Estonia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bulgaria vs Estonia: result vs prediction
Bulgaria 0 – 0 Estonia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League C - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bulgaria vs Estonia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bulgaria | 47.5% | 2.11 | -24.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bulgaria | 47.5% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Estonia | 25.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.7% |
| No | 35.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bulgaria win | 13.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.5% | |
| Loss | 70.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 2-1 | 7.2% |
Bulgaria vs Estonia stats
Bulgaria vs Estonia head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Bulgaria vs Estonia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.6%, draw 27.6%, away 18.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 3.62 | 5.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.30 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.30 | 4.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.77 | 3.58 | 5.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 3.51 | 5.06 |
| SBO | 1.58 | 3.25 | 4.84 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.25 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
24 snapshots recorded, from .