San Marino
vs
Albania
0 – 3 Full time
| 21′ | Anis·Mehmeti | ||
| 27′ | Myrto Uzuni | ||
| 34′ | Kristjan Asllani | ||
| 39′ | Nicola Nanni | ||
| 45′ | Berat DjimsitiMarash Kumbulla | ||
| 60′ | Lorenzo LazzariBalda Enea Della | ||
| 60′ | Lorenzo·CapicchioniC. Meloni | ||
| 60′ | Michele CevoliF. Fabbri | ||
| 65′ | Rey Manaj | ||
| 66′ | Ernest MuciArber Hoxha | ||
| 66′ | Rey ManajCristian Shpendi | ||
| 74′ | Samuel·PancottiS. Zannoni | ||
| 74′ | Juljan ShehuKlevi Qefalija | ||
| 78′ | Gabriel CapicchioniNicholas Giacopetti | ||
| 80′ | Anis·MehmetiLuis Hasa |
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 28 | Possession % | 72 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 1 |
| 170 | Accurate passes | 591 |
San Marino vs Albania overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Marino vs Albania
| Probability | San Marino | Draw | Albania |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 0.8% | 4.2% | 95.0% |
| Market | 2.3% | 6.5% | 91.2% |
| Final | 1.9% | 6.0% | 92.1% |
| Edge | -1.5% | -2.3% | +3.8% |
Why Albania
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 4.04 vs 0.34.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Albania below the model: +3.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
San Marino and Albania expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.38
San Marino and Albania attack and defence ratings
San Marino
Albania
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
San Marino vs Albania: result vs prediction
San Marino 0 – 3 Albania
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League C - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
San Marino vs Albania markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Albania | 92.1% | 1.09 | +3.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 98.1% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Albania win | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Marino | 1.9% |
| Draw | 6.0% | |
| Albania | 92.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 19.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.4% |
| No | 71.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 7.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 94.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 98.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Albania win | 85.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 9.3% | |
| Loss | 4.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-3 | 14.0% |
| 0-4 | 14.0% | |
| 0-5 | 11.1% |
San Marino vs Albania stats
San Marino and Albania recent form
| San Marino |
LLLLLL |
| Albania |
WLLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Marino vs Albania head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-09-08 | Albania | San Marino | World Cup - Qualification Europe | 5-0 |
| 2021-03-31 | San Marino | Albania | World Cup - Qualification Europe | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
San Marino vs Albania odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 2.3%, draw 6.5%, away 91.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 55.00 | 15.50 | 1.05 |
| Bet365 | 29.00 | 15.00 | 1.04 |
| BetVictor | 36.00 | 13.00 | 1.04 |
| Betano | 28.00 | 13.00 | 1.07 |
| Betfair | 41.00 | 14.00 | 1.03 |
| Marathonbet | 51.00 | 14.50 | 1.05 |
| Pinnacle | 49.91 | 18.19 | 1.04 |
| SBO | 32.68 | 6.86 | 1.03 |
| William Hill | 51.00 | 15.00 | 1.04 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
24 snapshots recorded, from .