UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League C - 1

Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan

1 – 1 Full time

14′Áki Samuelsen
26′Temirlan Erlanov
49′Galymzhan Kenzhebek
62′Zhasulan AmirElkhan Astanov
62′Galymzhan Kenzhebekstanislav basmanov
65′Petur KnudsenAdrian Justinussen
73′Bauyrzhan IslamkhanRamazan Orazov
80′Géza Dávid TuriMattias Hellisdal
80′Áki SamuelsenPoul Kallsberg
81′Artur ShushenachevIsmail Bekbolat
90′Islambek Kuat

TórsvøllurReferee: Ishmael Barbara

Faroe Islands 42%
Draw 29%
Kazakhstan 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
42 Possession % 58
7 Corners 5
10 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1
1 Saves 3
287 Accurate passes 451

Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFaroe IslandsDrawKazakhstan
Model42.8%26.8%30.3%
Market41.8%30.3%27.9%
Final42.1%29.4%28.5%
Edge+1.0%-3.5%+2.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Faroe Islands

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Faroe Islands ↓ / Kazakhstan → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 7% 12% 8% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 58%
No goals 6%

Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan expected goals

Faroe Islands 1.64
Kazakhstan 1.35

Total expected goals: 2.99

Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan attack and defence ratings

Faroe Islands

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Kazakhstan

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.54 +54%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan: result vs prediction

Faroe Islands 1 – 1 Kazakhstan

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League C - 1 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Faroe Islands 42.1% 2.38 +1.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.2% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.1% 1.69 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 71.5% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.7% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Faroe Islands42.1%
Draw29.4%
Kazakhstan28.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.2%
Under 2.544.8%
Both teams to scoreYes59.1%
No40.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.5%
12 (either side)70.6%
X2 (draw or away)57.9%
Handicap -1Faroe Islands win23.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss56.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
2-19.1%
1-07.7%

Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan stats

Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan recent form

newest first
Faroe Islands LWWWLW
Kazakhstan DDWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Faroe Islands wins 0Draws 0Kazakhstan wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-11-18Faroe IslandsKazakhstanFriendlies1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.7%, draw 30.3%, away 28.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.30 3.32 3.40
Bet365 2.25 3.10 3.40
BetVictor 2.25 3.13 3.30
Betano 2.32 3.05 3.45
Betfair 2.20 2.88 3.30
Marathonbet 2.27 3.28 3.36
Pinnacle 2.28 3.23 3.43
SBO 2.14 2.80 2.89
William Hill 2.25 3.00 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.27 ▼ -0.41
X 3.13 ▼ -0.04
2 3.40 ▲ +0.73

13 snapshots recorded, from .