Slovakia
vs
Moldova
2 – 0 Full time
| 20′ | Oleg Reabciuk | ||
| 28′ | Ondrej Duda | ||
| 32′ | Ivan Schranz | ||
| 40′ | Ondrej Duda | ||
| 55′ | Nicky ClescencoŞtefan Bodişteanu | ||
| 55′ | Victor StinaVlad Raileanu | ||
| 63′ | Ivan SchranzMartin Valjent | ||
| 63′ | Adrian KapralikLeo Sauer | ||
| 66′ | Vadim RațăCristian Dros | ||
| 72′ | Dávid HanckoDenis Vavro | ||
| 72′ | David StrelecErik Prekop | ||
| 72′ | Tomas Suslov | ||
| 74′ | Danila ForovS. Țurcan | ||
| 74′ | Vladyslav BabogloMihail Stefan | ||
| 82′ | Lukáš HaraslínTomas Rigo |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 68 | Possession % | 32 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 649 | Accurate passes | 262 |
Slovakia vs Moldova overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Slovakia vs Moldova
| Probability | Slovakia | Draw | Moldova |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 78.2% | 12.6% | 9.3% |
| Market | 83.1% | 12.5% | 4.4% |
| Final | 81.9% | 12.5% | 5.6% |
| Edge | -4.9% | +0.1% | +4.8% |
Why Slovakia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.61 vs 1.36.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Slovakia and Moldova expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.97
Slovakia and Moldova attack and defence ratings
Slovakia
Moldova
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Slovakia vs Moldova: result vs prediction
Slovakia 2 – 0 Moldova
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League C - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Slovakia vs Moldova markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slovakia | 81.9% | 1.22 | -4.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Slovakia win | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slovakia | 81.9% |
| Draw | 12.5% | |
| Moldova | 5.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 84.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 15.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.2% |
| No | 30.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 87.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 18.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Slovakia win | 43.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 36.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 7.8% |
| 2-1 | 6.8% | |
| 4-1 | 6.7% |
Slovakia vs Moldova stats
Slovakia vs Moldova head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Slovakia vs Moldova odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 83.1%, draw 12.5%, away 4.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.16 | 8.05 | 22.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 7.50 | 17.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.12 | 8.00 | 22.00 |
| Betano | 1.18 | 7.60 | 22.00 |
| Betfair | 1.08 | 7.50 | 16.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.15 | 8.00 | 22.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.15 | 8.32 | 21.33 |
| SBO | 1.13 | 6.76 | 13.96 |
| William Hill | 1.14 | 7.00 | 19.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
18 snapshots recorded, from .