Armenia
vs
Latvia
2 – 0 Full time
| 31′ | Georgiy Harutyunyan | ||
| 45′ | Jose·JulioArgishti·Petrosyan | ||
| 58′ | Raivis JurkovskisMaksims Tonisevs | ||
| 60′ | narek hovhannisyanZhirayr Shaghoyan | ||
| 62′ | Artur Serobyan | ||
| 68′ | Markuss StrodsRoberts Uldriķis | ||
| 68′ | Eduards DaskevicsOskars Vientiess | ||
| 69′ | Artur MiranyanArtur Gharibyan | ||
| 75′ | Artur Gharibyan | ||
| 82′ | Artur SerobyanEdgar Sevikyan | ||
| 82′ | Georgiy HarutyunyanErik Simonyan | ||
| 87′ | Antonijs ČernomordijsDanila Patijčuks | ||
| 87′ | Vladislavs GutkovskisAlbert aleksanjan |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 2 |
| 448 | Accurate passes | 334 |
Armenia vs Latvia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Armenia vs Latvia
| Probability | Armenia | Draw | Latvia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.7% | 28.7% | 35.6% |
| Market | 51.4% | 26.9% | 21.7% |
| Final | 47.5% | 27.3% | 25.2% |
| Edge | -15.7% | +1.9% | +13.9% |
Why Armenia
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Armenia and Latvia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.63
Armenia and Latvia attack and defence ratings
Armenia
Latvia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Armenia vs Latvia: result vs prediction
Armenia 2 – 0 Latvia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League C - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Armenia vs Latvia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Armenia | 47.5% | 2.11 | -15.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Armenia | 47.5% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Latvia | 25.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.7% |
| No | 45.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Armenia win | 16.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 64.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-0 | 8.5% | |
| 1-0 | 8.3% |
Armenia vs Latvia stats
Armenia vs Latvia head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-17 | Latvia | Armenia | UEFA Nations League | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-07 | Armenia | Latvia | UEFA Nations League | 4-1 |
| 2023-10-12 | Latvia | Armenia | Euro Championship - Qualification | 2-0 |
| 2023-06-19 | Armenia | Latvia | Euro Championship - Qualification | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Armenia vs Latvia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.4%, draw 26.9%, away 21.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.88 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| Betfair | 1.83 | 3.50 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 3.58 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 3.66 | 4.54 |
| SBO | 1.82 | 3.28 | 3.98 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .