UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League C - 3

Faroe Islands vs Slovakia

1 – 1 Full time

38′Gunnar Vatnhamar
41′Jóannes Danielsen
45′Leo SauerLukáš Haraslín
55′Petur KnudsenAdrian Justinussen
55′Poul KallsbergÁki Samuelsen
63′David DurisIvan Schranz
63′Tomas RigoOndrej Duda
65′Géza Dávid Turi
66′Adrian Justinussen
69′Andrias Edmundsson
70′Róbert BoženíkDavid Strelec
82′Martin ValjentDávid Hancko
84′Jóannes BjartalíðJorgen Nielsen

Torsvollur, TorshavnReferee: Mohammed Al-Hakim

Faroe Islands 17%
Draw 25%
Slovakia 58%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 4
34 Possession % 66
2 Corners 10
12 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 3
3 Saves 5
235 Accurate passes 512

Faroe Islands vs Slovakia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Faroe Islands vs Slovakia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFaroe IslandsDrawSlovakia
Model27.1%27.6%45.3%
Market14.2%24.2%61.6%
Final17.4%25.0%57.6%
Edge+12.9%+3.4%-16.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Slovakia

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.17.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Faroe Islands ↓ / Slovakia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 8% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Faroe Islands and Slovakia expected goals

Faroe Islands 1.17
Slovakia 1.54

Total expected goals: 2.70

Faroe Islands and Slovakia attack and defence ratings

Faroe Islands

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Slovakia

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Faroe Islands vs Slovakia: result vs prediction

Faroe Islands 1 – 1 Slovakia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League C - 3 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Faroe Islands vs Slovakia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Slovakia 57.6% 1.74 -16.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.8% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.1% 1.81 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.6% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.4% 1.80 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Faroe Islands17.4%
Draw25.0%
Slovakia57.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.8%
Under 2.549.2%
Both teams to scoreYes55.1%
No44.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)42.4%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)82.6%
Handicap -1Slovakia win23.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss55.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
1-29.3%
0-19.2%

Faroe Islands vs Slovakia stats

Faroe Islands and Slovakia recent form

newest first
Faroe Islands DDLWWW
Slovakia WWLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Faroe Islands vs Slovakia head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Faroe Islands vs Slovakia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 14.2%, draw 24.2%, away 61.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 6.73 4.20 1.55
Bet365 6.00 3.90 1.53
BetVictor 7.00 3.90 1.50
Betano 7.00 4.10 1.57
Betfair 6.00 3.70 1.47
Marathonbet 6.65 4.15 1.53
Pinnacle 6.66 3.96 1.56
SBO 5.99 3.71 1.49
William Hill 6.00 3.80 1.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 6.65 ▲ +1.15
X 3.90 ▲ +0.28
2 1.53 ▼ -0.11

6 snapshots recorded, from .