Moldova
vs
Slovakia
0 – 4 Full time
| 8′ | David Strelec | ||
| 22′ | Vadim Rață | ||
| 44′ | Tomas Suslov | ||
| 58′ | Vadim RațăDaniel Dumbravanu | ||
| 58′ | M. GherasimencovCristian Dros | ||
| 60′ | Dávid Hancko | ||
| 65′ | Nicky ClescencoVictor Stina | ||
| 66′ | Vladyslav BabogloMihail Stefan | ||
| 67′ | Ondrej DudaTomas Rigo | ||
| 67′ | Ivan SchranzLeo Sauer | ||
| 75′ | Lukáš Haraslín | ||
| 76′ | Ioan-Calin RevencoNikita Motpan | ||
| 81′ | David StrelecErik Prekop | ||
| 82′ | Adam ObertLubomír Šatka | ||
| 82′ | Tomas SuslovPeter·Pokorny | ||
| 90′ | Iurie Iovu |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Offsides | 4 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 377 | Accurate passes | 447 |
Moldova vs Slovakia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Moldova vs Slovakia
| Probability | Moldova | Draw | Slovakia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 11.9% | 17.7% | 70.4% |
| Market | 11.3% | 20.1% | 68.6% |
| Final | 11.4% | 19.5% | 69.1% |
| Edge | +0.6% | -2.5% | +1.8% |
Why Slovakia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.58 vs 1.01.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Moldova and Slovakia expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.60
Moldova and Slovakia attack and defence ratings
Moldova
Slovakia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Moldova vs Slovakia: result vs prediction
Moldova 0 – 4 Slovakia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League C - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Moldova vs Slovakia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slovakia | 69.1% | 1.45 | +1.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Slovakia win | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Moldova | 11.4% |
| Draw | 19.5% | |
| Slovakia | 69.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.6% |
| No | 40.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 30.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 88.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Slovakia win | 49.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 29.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.3% |
| 0-2 | 9.1% | |
| 1-3 | 8.0% |
Moldova vs Slovakia stats
Moldova vs Slovakia head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Slovakia | Moldova | UEFA Nations League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Moldova vs Slovakia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.3%, draw 20.1%, away 68.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.45 | 4.96 | 1.41 |
| Bet365 | 8.50 | 4.75 | 1.38 |
| BetVictor | 8.50 | 4.60 | 1.36 |
| Betano | 8.25 | 4.70 | 1.40 |
| Betfair | 8.00 | 4.50 | 1.30 |
| Marathonbet | 8.40 | 4.90 | 1.39 |
| Pinnacle | 8.70 | 4.86 | 1.38 |
| SBO | 7.62 | 4.39 | 1.34 |
| William Hill | 7.50 | 4.40 | 1.36 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .