UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League C - 4

Montenegro vs Armenia

0 – 0 Full time

45′viktor djukanovicStevan Jovetić
56′Gor ManvelyanEduard Spertsyan
57′Ognjen Gasevic
62′Marko JankovićStefan Loncar
62′milan roganovicMarko Vešović
73′Erik SimonyanArgishti·Petrosyan
74′Artur MiranyanArayik Eloyan
79′Andrija BulatovićM. Šimun
80′karlen hovhannisyan
86′Stefan Loncar
88′narek hovhannisyanArtur Gharibyan
88′Milutin OsmajićDanilo Vukanić
90′Eduard Spertsyan

Gradski Stadion, PodgoricaReferee: Manfredas Lukjancukas

Montenegro 63%
Draw 21%
Armenia 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
64 Possession % 36
4 Corners 2
15 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1
2 Saves 5
530 Accurate passes 266

Montenegro vs Armenia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Montenegro vs Armenia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMontenegroDrawArmenia
Model59.6%20.9%19.4%
Market63.8%21.0%15.2%
Final62.8%21.0%16.3%
Edge-4.2%-0.0%+4.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Montenegro

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.33 vs 1.28.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Montenegro ↓ / Armenia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 9% 5% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 6% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

Montenegro and Armenia expected goals

Montenegro 2.33
Armenia 1.28

Total expected goals: 3.60

Montenegro and Armenia attack and defence ratings

Montenegro

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.39 +39%

Armenia

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 1.64 +64%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Montenegro vs Armenia: result vs prediction

Montenegro 0 – 0 Armenia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League C - 4 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Montenegro vs Armenia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Montenegro 62.8% 1.59 -4.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.8% 1.43 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.1% 1.51 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.7% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.0% 2.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Montenegro62.8%
Draw21.0%
Armenia16.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.8%
Under 2.530.2%
Both teams to scoreYes66.1%
No33.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.7%
12 (either side)79.0%
X2 (draw or away)37.2%
Handicap -1Montenegro win39.0%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss40.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.4%
1-18.9%
2-07.3%

Montenegro vs Armenia stats

Montenegro and Armenia recent form

newest first
Montenegro WWWLWL
Armenia LLWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Montenegro vs Armenia head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Montenegro wins 1Draws 2Armenia wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-28ArmeniaMontenegroUEFA Nations League2-3
2025-06-09MontenegroArmeniaFriendlies2-2
2022-03-24ArmeniaMontenegroFriendlies1-0
2017-06-10MontenegroArmeniaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe4-1
2016-11-11ArmeniaMontenegroWorld Cup - Qualification Europe3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Montenegro vs Armenia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 63.8%, draw 21.0%, away 15.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.53 4.55 6.37
Bet365 1.48 4.50 5.75
BetVictor 1.45 4.50 6.50
Betano 1.50 4.50 6.20
Betfair 1.40 4.20 6.00
Marathonbet 1.51 4.50 6.30
Pinnacle 1.50 4.51 6.41
SBO 1.44 4.11 5.90
William Hill 1.44 4.00 5.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.48 ▲ +0.04
X 4.50 ▲ +0.04
2 6.20 ▼ -0.17

6 snapshots recorded, from .