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UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League C - 4

Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands

2 – 2 Full time

22′Petur Knudsen
38′Maksim Samorodov
45′Ramazan·KarimovArtur Shushenachev
45′stanislav basmanovYan Vorogovskiy
52′Heini Vatnsdal
52′Martin Agnarsson
53′Heini VatnsdalSamuel Chukwudi
63′Géza Dávid Turi
65′Martin Agnarsson
68′Sergey Malyy
69′Petur KnudsenViljormur Davidsen
73′Nauryzbek ZhagorovZhasulan Amir
73′Georgiy ZhukovIsmail Bekbolat
76′Nuraly Alip
82′hanus SorensenMattias Hellisdal
82′Áki SamuelsenPoul Kallsberg
85′Sergey Malyy
87′Bauyrzhan IslamkhanElkhan Astanov

Astana Arena, AstanaReferee: Kristo Tohver

Kazakhstan 35%
Draw 31%
Faroe Islands 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
67 Possession % 33
5 Corners 8
8 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 1
2 Saves 2
482 Accurate passes 175

Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKazakhstanDrawFaroe Islands
Model25.1%28.2%46.6%
Market38.4%31.3%30.3%
Final35.1%30.6%34.4%
Edge-13.2%-3.1%+16.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kazakhstan ↓ / Faroe Islands → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 10% 9% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Kazakhstan and Faroe Islands expected goals

Kazakhstan 1.05
Faroe Islands 1.51

Total expected goals: 2.56

Kazakhstan and Faroe Islands attack and defence ratings

Kazakhstan

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Faroe Islands

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands: result vs prediction

Kazakhstan 2 – 2 Faroe Islands

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League C - 4 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kazakhstan 35.1% 2.85 -13.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.8% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.9% 1.93 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.4% 1.44 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.9% 1.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kazakhstan35.1%
Draw30.6%
Faroe Islands34.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.2%
Under 2.552.8%
Both teams to scoreYes51.9%
No48.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.6%
12 (either side)69.4%
X2 (draw or away)64.9%
Handicap -1Kazakhstan win9.9%
Push (exactly one goal)15.3%
Loss74.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
0-110.4%
1-29.3%

Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands stats

Kazakhstan and Faroe Islands recent form

newest first
Kazakhstan LLDDDW
Faroe Islands DDDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Kazakhstan wins 1Draws 1Faroe Islands wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-26Faroe IslandsKazakhstanUEFA Nations League1-1
2025-11-18Faroe IslandsKazakhstanFriendlies1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.4%, draw 31.3%, away 30.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.52 3.08 3.24
Bet365 2.45 3.10 3.10
BetVictor 2.45 3.00 3.10
Betano 2.42 3.10 3.20
Betfair 2.40 2.80 3.00
Marathonbet 2.49 3.04 3.20
Pinnacle 2.57 2.96 3.21
SBO 2.47 2.85 2.81
William Hill 2.40 2.80 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.45 ▼ -0.04
X 3.00 ▼ -0.13
2 3.10 ▲ +0.20

6 snapshots recorded, from .