Cyprus
vs
Latvia
2 – 1 Full time
| 29′ | Raivis Jurkovskis | ||
| 45′ | Lukass VapneKristers Cudars | ||
| 45′ | Markuss Strodsdanila patijcuks | ||
| 57′ | Eduards Daskevics | ||
| 58′ | Andronikos KakoullisGiannis Kosti | ||
| 58′ | Loizos LoizouStavros Georgiou | ||
| 60′ | Vladislavs GutkovskisRoberts Uldriķis | ||
| 67′ | Ioannis PittasA. Neophytou | ||
| 67′ | Kostakis ArtymatasCharalampos Kyriakou | ||
| 70′ | Giannis Kosti | ||
| 74′ | Eduards DaskevicsAlbert aleksanjan | ||
| 76′ | danila patijcuks | ||
| 85′ | Leonidas·Konomis | ||
| 85′ | Andrejs Cigaņiks | ||
| 88′ | Dmitrijs ZelenkovsAleksejs Saveljevs | ||
| 90′ | Grigoris KastanosNicholas Tsaroulla | ||
| 90′ | Marcus Edwards | ||
| 90′ | Marcus Edwards |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 5 |
| 536 | Accurate passes | 323 |
Cyprus vs Latvia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cyprus vs Latvia
| Probability | Cyprus | Draw | Latvia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.9% | 28.4% | 19.7% |
| Market | 58.5% | 25.0% | 16.5% |
| Final | 56.9% | 25.8% | 17.3% |
| Edge | -6.6% | +3.4% | +3.1% |
Why Cyprus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cyprus and Latvia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.36
Cyprus and Latvia attack and defence ratings
Cyprus
Latvia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cyprus vs Latvia: result vs prediction
Cyprus 2 – 1 Latvia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League C - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cyprus vs Latvia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cyprus | 56.9% | 1.76 | -6.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cyprus | 56.9% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Latvia | 17.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.7% |
| No | 54.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cyprus win | 27.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 48.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 13.1% | |
| 2-0 | 10.9% |
Cyprus vs Latvia stats
Cyprus vs Latvia head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | Latvia | Cyprus | UEFA Nations League | 0-0 |
| 2024-03-21 | Cyprus | Latvia | Friendlies | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cyprus vs Latvia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.5%, draw 25.0%, away 16.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.92 | 5.66 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.75 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.75 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.65 | 3.85 | 6.20 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 3.60 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.88 | 5.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 3.94 | 6.03 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.52 | 5.13 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.50 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .