UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League C - 3

Cyprus vs Armenia

2 – 0 Full time

19′Leonidas·Konomis
26′Edgar Sevikyan
31′Andronikos Kakoullis
37′Artem Bandikyan
45′Edgar SevikyanNarek Grigoryan
52′Kostas Pileas
52′Artem BandikyanDavit Terteryan
54′Andronikos KakoullisGiorgos Malekkidis
63′Erik SimonyanUgochukwu Iwu
63′Artur MiranyanKaren Nalbandyan
68′Loizos LoizouMarinos Tzionis
68′Marcus EdwardsA. Neophytou
78′Gor Manvelyannarek hovhannisyan
84′Grigoris KastanosKostakis Artymatas
84′Ioannis PittasStavros Georgiou

GSP Stadium, NicosiaReferee: Mohammad Al-Emara

Cyprus 40%
Draw 28%
Armenia 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 5
33 Possession % 67
1 Corners 11
6 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
3 Saves 2
253 Accurate passes 564

Cyprus vs Armenia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cyprus vs Armenia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCyprusDrawArmenia
Model36.2%26.0%37.8%
Market41.5%28.5%30.0%
Final40.2%27.8%32.0%
Edge-5.4%-2.4%+7.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cyprus ↓ / Armenia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 12% 9% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Cyprus and Armenia expected goals

Cyprus 1.52
Armenia 1.57

Total expected goals: 3.09

Cyprus and Armenia attack and defence ratings

Cyprus

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Armenia

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.69 +69%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cyprus vs Armenia: result vs prediction

Cyprus 2 – 0 Armenia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League C - 3 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Cyprus vs Armenia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cyprus 40.2% 2.49 -5.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.9% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.1% 1.58 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.2% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.1% 1.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cyprus40.2%
Draw27.8%
Armenia32.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.9%
Under 2.540.1%
Both teams to scoreYes63.1%
No36.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.0%
12 (either side)72.2%
X2 (draw or away)59.8%
Handicap -1Cyprus win17.8%
Push (exactly one goal)18.1%
Loss64.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.9%
1-28.5%
2-18.3%

Cyprus vs Armenia stats

Cyprus and Armenia recent form

newest first
Cyprus DLLWDD
Armenia LWLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cyprus vs Armenia head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Cyprus wins 1Draws 1Armenia wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-03-28ArmeniaCyprusFriendlies2-2
2017-11-13ArmeniaCyprusFriendlies3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cyprus vs Armenia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.5%, draw 28.5%, away 30.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.34 3.31 3.31
Bet365 2.25 3.40 3.10
BetVictor 2.25 3.30 3.13
Betano 2.32 3.30 3.15
Betfair 2.20 3.10 3.00
Marathonbet 2.32 3.28 3.28
Pinnacle 2.31 3.36 3.25
SBO 2.26 3.09 2.91
William Hill 2.25 3.00 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.26 ▼ -0.05
X 3.30 ▲ +0.04
2 3.13 ▲ +0.15

7 snapshots recorded, from .