Kazakhstan
vs
Moldova
1 – 2 Full time
| 45′ | Nicky Clescenco | ||
| 45′ | Ramazan OrazovErkin Tapalov | ||
| 45′ | Elkhan AstanovAzamat Tuyakbaev | ||
| 45′ | Vladimir FrateaNikita Motpan | ||
| 50′ | Petru popescu | ||
| 59′ | Nicky ClescencoVictor Stina | ||
| 59′ | Ramazan·KarimovArtur Shushenachev | ||
| 64′ | Nuraly Alip | ||
| 66′ | Aleksandr MrynskiyNauryzbek Zhagorov | ||
| 74′ | Temirlan ErlanovSergey Malyy | ||
| 75′ | Oleg ReabciukMihail Stefan | ||
| 80′ | Galymzhan Kenzhebek | ||
| 86′ | Vadim RațăDaniel Dumbravanu | ||
| 86′ | Ioan-Calin RevencoOvidiu David | ||
| 89′ | Yan Vorogovskiy |
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 65 | Possession % | 35 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 6 | Saves | 2 |
| 507 | Accurate passes | 250 |
Kazakhstan vs Moldova overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kazakhstan vs Moldova
| Probability | Kazakhstan | Draw | Moldova |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.8% | 22.9% | 21.3% |
| Market | 50.9% | 27.8% | 21.4% |
| Final | 52.1% | 26.6% | 21.4% |
| Edge | +4.9% | -4.8% | -0.1% |
Why Kazakhstan
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 1.23.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Kazakhstan below the model: +4.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kazakhstan and Moldova expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.29
Kazakhstan and Moldova attack and defence ratings
Kazakhstan
Moldova
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kazakhstan vs Moldova: result vs prediction
Kazakhstan 1 – 2 Moldova
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League C - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kazakhstan vs Moldova markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kazakhstan | 52.1% | 1.92 | +4.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kazakhstan | 52.1% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Moldova | 21.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% |
| No | 37.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kazakhstan win | 34.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 44.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 7.9% |
Kazakhstan vs Moldova stats
Kazakhstan and Moldova recent form
| Kazakhstan |
LDDDWL |
| Moldova |
DLLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kazakhstan vs Moldova head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-29 | Kazakhstan | Moldova | UEFA Nations League | 0-1 |
| 2022-03-24 | Moldova | Kazakhstan | UEFA Nations League | 1-2 |
| 2019-02-21 | Kazakhstan | Moldova | Friendlies | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kazakhstan vs Moldova odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.9%, draw 27.8%, away 21.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.48 | 4.65 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.50 | 4.60 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.10 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 3.44 | 4.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.39 | 4.63 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.14 | 4.03 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.10 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .