UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League B - 1

Austria vs Israel

3 – 1 Full time

26′Xaver Schlager
31′Eilel Peretz
36′Michael GregoritschSasa Kalajdzic
43′Romano Schmid
45′Marco GrüllPaul Wanner
51′Kevin Danso
51′Sayd Abu Farhi
55′Sayd Abu Farhi
56′Sayd Abu Farhi
64′Patrick Wimmer
64′Dor PeretzYarin Levi
64′guy mizrahiRaz Shlomo
73′Patrick WimmerChristoph Lang
73′Nicolas SeiwaldSascha Horvath
73′Manor SolomonDor Turgeman
82′Romano SchmidCarney Chukwuemeka
85′Eilel PeretzEli Dasa
85′Oscar GloukhLiel Abada
90′Daniel Peretz
90′Phillipp Mwene
90′Sasa Kalajdzic

Raiffeisen Arena, LinzReferee: Georgi Nikolov Kabakov

Austria 66%
Draw 19%
Israel 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 1
51 Possession % 49
4 Corners 2
15 Fouls 4
2 Offsides 1
0 Saves 6
397 Accurate passes 370

Austria vs Israel overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Austria vs Israel

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAustriaDrawIsrael
Model66.5%16.1%17.4%
Market66.2%19.9%13.9%
Final66.2%19.0%14.8%
Edge+0.3%-3.8%+3.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Austria ↓ / Israel → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 4% 1 7% 8% 6% 7% 2 6% 7% 6% 6% 3 4% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 93%
3+ goals 78%
No goals 2%

Austria and Israel expected goals

Austria 1.77
Israel 2.38

Total expected goals: 4.15

Austria and Israel attack and defence ratings

Austria

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Israel

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Austria vs Israel: result vs prediction

Austria 3 – 1 Israel

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League B - 1 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Austria vs Israel markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Austria 66.2% 1.51 +0.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 86.1% 1.16 — —
Both teams to score Yes 78.3% 1.28 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.2% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.8% 1.39 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Austria66.2%
Draw19.0%
Israel14.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.586.1%
Under 2.513.9%
Both teams to scoreYes78.3%
No21.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.2%
12 (either side)81.0%
X2 (draw or away)33.8%
Handicap -1Austria win14.2%
Push (exactly one goal)14.0%
Loss71.8%
Correct score (top 3)3-17.0%
2-16.6%
3-25.9%

Austria vs Israel stats

Austria and Israel recent form

newest first
Austria LDLWDW
Israel WLLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Austria vs Israel head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Austria wins 0Draws 2Israel wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2021-11-12AustriaIsraelWorld Cup - Qualification Europe4-2
2021-09-04IsraelAustriaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe5-2
2019-10-10AustriaIsraelEuro Championship3-1
2019-03-24IsraelAustriaEuro Championship4-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Austria vs Israel odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 66.2%, draw 19.9%, away 13.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.47 4.90 6.87
Bet365 1.40 4.75 7.00
BetVictor 1.40 4.80 7.00
Betano 1.50 4.75 7.00
Betfair 1.36 4.40 6.00
Marathonbet 1.45 4.85 6.80
Pinnacle 1.47 4.99 6.43
SBO 1.43 4.46 6.09
William Hill 1.40 4.40 6.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.43 ▲ +0.05
X 4.75 —
2 6.80 ▼ -0.55

14 snapshots recorded, from .