Poland
vs
Bosnia & Herzegovina
0 – 0 Full time
| 19′ | Jakub Kiwior | ||
| 24′ | Jakub KamińskiNicola Zalewski | ||
| 32′ | Kerim Alajbegovic | ||
| 38′ | Zinedin Smajlovic | ||
| 45′ | Zinedin SmajlovicAmar Memić | ||
| 45′ | Bartosz ŚliszWiktor Nowak | ||
| 45′ | Jakub KiwiorPrzemysław Frankowski | ||
| 47′ | Ivan Šunjić | ||
| 57′ | S. Barbarez | ||
| 66′ | Ivan ŠunjićBenjamin Tahirovic | ||
| 73′ | Michał SkóraśKarol Świderski | ||
| 78′ | Ermedin DemirovićErmin Mahmić | ||
| 81′ | Sead Kolašinac | ||
| 82′ | Jan Bednarek | ||
| 86′ | Matty Cash | ||
| 87′ | Robert LewandowskiMateusz Zukowski | ||
| 89′ | Amar Memić | ||
| 90′ | Haris TabakovićJovo Lukić | ||
| 90′ | Kerim AlajbegovicArmin Gigovic |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 369 | Accurate passes | 368 |
Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
| Probability | Poland | Draw | Bosnia & Herzegovina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.3% | 24.2% | 27.5% |
| Market | 59.8% | 22.9% | 17.3% |
| Final | 56.9% | 23.2% | 19.8% |
| Edge | -11.5% | +1.3% | +10.2% |
Why Poland
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 1.42.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Poland and Bosnia & Herzegovina expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.50
Poland and Bosnia & Herzegovina attack and defence ratings
Poland
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina: result vs prediction
Poland 0 – 0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League B - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Poland | 56.9% | 1.76 | -11.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Poland | 56.9% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | 19.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.2% |
| No | 34.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Poland win | 31.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 48.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-2 | 6.9% |
Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina stats
Poland and Bosnia & Herzegovina recent form
| Poland |
LWWDWW |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina |
LWLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-14 | Poland | Bosnia & Herzegovina | UEFA Nations League | 3-0 |
| 2020-09-07 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | Poland | UEFA Nations League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.3%, draw 23.3%, away 17.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.61 | 4.30 | 5.66 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.10 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 4.10 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 4.15 | 5.40 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 4.25 | 5.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61 | 4.26 | 5.53 |
| SBO | 1.67 | 3.59 | 4.79 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
16 snapshots recorded, from .