UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League B - 1

Slovenia vs Scotland

0 – 0 Full time

35′Andrew Robertson
64′Timi ElsnikMark Zabukovnik
64′Vanja DrkusicDavid Zec
67′Robbie UreKieron Bowie
74′David BrekaloJure Balkovec
74′Andraž ŠporarZan Vipotnik
75′Adam Gnezda Čerin
78′Aaron HickeyBen Gannon-Doak
80′Adam Gnezda ČerinSandi Lovric
82′Žan Karničnik
86′Sandi Lovric

Stožice Stadium, LjubljanaReferee: Horatiu Fesnic

Slovenia 36%
Draw 30%
Scotland 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

4 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 5
35 Possession % 65
5 Corners 4
15 Fouls 18
2 Offsides 1
5 Saves 1
235 Accurate passes 496

Slovenia vs Scotland overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Slovenia vs Scotland

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySloveniaDrawScotland
Model32.9%30.7%36.4%
Market37.4%30.3%32.3%
Final36.3%30.4%33.3%
Edge-4.5%+0.4%+4.1%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Slovenia ↓ / Scotland → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 10% 1 10% 14% 8% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Slovenia and Scotland expected goals

Slovenia 1.13
Scotland 1.21

Total expected goals: 2.34

Slovenia and Scotland attack and defence ratings

Slovenia

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Scotland

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.37 +37%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Slovenia vs Scotland: result vs prediction

Slovenia 0 – 0 Scotland

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League B - 1 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Slovenia vs Scotland markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Slovenia 36.3% 2.76 -4.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.6% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score No 51.2% 1.95 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.6% 1.44 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.1% 1.49 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Slovenia36.3%
Draw30.4%
Scotland33.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.4%
Under 2.558.6%
Both teams to scoreYes48.8%
No51.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.7%
12 (either side)69.6%
X2 (draw or away)63.7%
Handicap -1Slovenia win13.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.0%
Loss67.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-011.0%
0-110.3%

Slovenia vs Scotland stats

Slovenia and Scotland recent form

newest first
Slovenia DLDDLD
Scotland LLWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Slovenia vs Scotland head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Slovenia wins 1Draws 1Scotland wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2017-10-08SloveniaScotlandWorld Cup - Qualification Europe2-2
2017-03-26ScotlandSloveniaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Slovenia vs Scotland odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.6%, draw 30.0%, away 32.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.59 3.20 3.00
Bet365 2.40 3.10 3.00
BetVictor 2.50 3.13 2.90
Betano 2.57 3.20 2.90
Betfair 2.50 3.00 2.88
Marathonbet 2.56 3.16 2.97
Pinnacle 2.57 3.21 3.01
SBO 2.48 2.94 2.58
William Hill 2.50 3.00 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.56 ▼ -0.14
X 3.16 ▲ +0.06
2 2.97 ▲ +0.35

17 snapshots recorded, from .