UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League B - 2

Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia

2 – 0 Full time

51′Andrej Stojchevski
55′Sandi Lovric
57′Jani Atanasov
61′Dimitar MitrovskiHristijan Maleski
61′Agon EleziEnis Bardhi
71′Tjas BegicAljosa Matko
71′Zan VipotnikŽan Celar
71′Sandi LovricMark Zabukovnik
71′Anes MeljichiVisar Musliu
71′Jani AtanasovLuka·Stankovski
78′Aljosa Matko
80′Din AlomerovicBojan Miovski
82′Aljosa Matko
85′Adam Gnezda ČerinTimi Elsnik
85′Vanja DrkusicDavid Zec

Stožice Stadium, LjubljanaReferee: Andrea Colombo

Slovenia 51%
Draw 28%
FYR Macedonia 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 1
52 Possession % 48
6 Corners 3
8 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 1
1 Saves 3
433 Accurate passes 392

Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySloveniaDrawFYR Macedonia
Model30.9%33.6%35.5%
Market58.3%26.2%15.5%
Final51.5%28.1%20.5%
Edge-27.3%+7.3%+20.0%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Slovenia ↓ / FYR Macedonia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 13% 1 12% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 15%

Slovenia and FYR Macedonia expected goals

Slovenia 0.97
FYR Macedonia 1.05

Total expected goals: 2.02

Slovenia and FYR Macedonia attack and defence ratings

Slovenia

Attack 0.61 -39%
Defence 0.81 -19%

FYR Macedonia

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.58 +58%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia: result vs prediction

Slovenia 2 – 0 FYR Macedonia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League B - 2 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Slovenia 51.5% 1.94 -27.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.8% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score No 58.9% 1.70 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.5% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.8% 1.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Slovenia51.5%
Draw28.1%
FYR Macedonia20.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532.2%
Under 2.567.8%
Both teams to scoreYes41.1%
No58.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.5%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)48.5%
Handicap -1Slovenia win11.9%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss68.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.0%
1-114.9%
0-112.8%

Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia stats

Slovenia and FYR Macedonia recent form

newest first
Slovenia DDLDDL
FYR Macedonia LLLDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Slovenia wins 2Draws 1FYR Macedonia wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2021-06-01FYR MacedoniaSloveniaFriendlies1-1
2019-10-10FYR MacedoniaSloveniaEuro Championship2-1
2019-03-24SloveniaFYR MacedoniaEuro Championship1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 58.3%, draw 26.2%, away 15.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.66 3.76 6.16
Bet365 1.62 3.40 6.25
BetVictor 1.62 3.60 6.00
Betano 1.65 3.60 7.00
Betfair 1.60 3.50 6.00
Marathonbet 1.64 3.72 6.10
Pinnacle 1.65 3.62 6.52
SBO 1.62 3.26 4.84
William Hill 1.62 3.40 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.62 ▼ -0.13
X 3.60 ▲ +0.35
2 6.10 ▲ +1.12

20 snapshots recorded, from .