UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League B - 3

FYR Macedonia vs Scotland

0 – 2 Full time

6′Oliver McBurnie
7′Kieron Bowie
31′Luka·StankovskiJani Atanasov
31′Sebastian HereraGjorge Dzhekov
37′Jani Atanasov
44′Gjorge Dzhekov
45′Mario Mladenovski
45′Oliver McBurnieRyan Christie
62′Enis BardhiAgon Elezi
62′Bojan IlievskiLjupche Doriev
68′Bojan Miovski
69′John McGinn
75′Kieron BowieRobbie Ure
76′Ben Gannon-DoakAaron Hickey
79′Matej GashtarovHristijan Maleski
80′Anes Meljichi
83′Scott Mckenna
88′Billy GilmourLuke Graham

Nacional Arena Todor Proeski, SkopjeReferee: Francois Letexier

FYR Macedonia 18%
Draw 26%
Scotland 56%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 25
0 Shots on target 10
56 Possession % 44
1 Corners 9
20 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
6 Saves 0
403 Accurate passes 301

FYR Macedonia vs Scotland overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FYR Macedonia vs Scotland

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFYR MacedoniaDrawScotland
Model23.5%25.4%51.1%
Market15.8%26.3%57.8%
Final17.7%26.1%56.1%
Edge+7.7%-0.9%-6.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Scotland

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 1.15.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FYR Macedonia ↓ / Scotland → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 9% 8% 1 12% 10% 2 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

FYR Macedonia and Scotland expected goals

FYR Macedonia 1.15
Scotland 1.74

Total expected goals: 2.90

FYR Macedonia and Scotland attack and defence ratings

FYR Macedonia

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.49 +49%

Scotland

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FYR Macedonia vs Scotland: result vs prediction

FYR Macedonia 0 – 2 Scotland

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League B - 3 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

FYR Macedonia vs Scotland markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Scotland 56.1% 1.78 -6.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.4% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.2% 1.72 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.3% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.9% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FYR Macedonia17.7%
Draw26.1%
Scotland56.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.4%
Under 2.543.6%
Both teams to scoreYes58.2%
No41.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.9%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)82.3%
Handicap -1Scotland win28.0%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss49.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
1-29.7%
0-28.4%

FYR Macedonia vs Scotland stats

FYR Macedonia and Scotland recent form

newest first
FYR Macedonia LLLLDD
Scotland LDLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FYR Macedonia vs Scotland head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

FYR Macedonia vs Scotland odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 15.8%, draw 26.3%, away 57.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 6.02 3.80 1.66
Bet365 1.50 3.00 1.50
BetVictor 6.00 3.60 1.62
Betano 6.10 3.65 1.70
Betfair 6.00 3.50 1.60
Marathonbet 5.95 3.76 1.64
Pinnacle 6.37 3.71 1.64
SBO 4.94 3.43 1.69
William Hill 5.50 3.40 1.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 6.00 ▲ +2.90
X 3.60 ▲ +0.06
2 1.64 ▼ -0.30

11 snapshots recorded, from .