UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League B - 3

Israel vs Kosovo

0 – 0 Full time

59′Dion KacuriLeon Avdullahu
59′Milot AvdyliDion Gallapeni
59′Muharrem JashariVeldin Hodza
69′Albion RrahmaniMilot Rashica
69′Tai BariboDor Turgeman
69′Liel AbadaIlay Feingold
73′Ethane AzoulayOscar Gloukh
77′Valmir MatoshiEdon Zhegrova
77′Anan KhalailiEli Dasa
78′Dor PeretzGabi Kanikovski

Nagyerdei Stadion, DebrecenReferee: Radu Marian Petrescu

Israel 28%
Draw 25%
Kosovo 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 4
45 Possession % 55
4 Corners 5
8 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 0
4 Saves 3
407 Accurate passes 499

Israel vs Kosovo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Israel vs Kosovo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIsraelDrawKosovo
Model16.8%19.2%64.0%
Market31.9%27.5%40.6%
Final28.1%25.4%46.4%
Edge-15.1%-8.3%+23.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Kosovo

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.55 vs 1.28.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Kosovo below the model: +23.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Israel ↓ / Kosovo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 7% 6% 7% 1 8% 9% 8% 9% 2 5% 6% 5% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Israel and Kosovo expected goals

Israel 1.28
Kosovo 2.55

Total expected goals: 3.83

Israel and Kosovo attack and defence ratings

Israel

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 1.85 +85%

Kosovo

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Israel vs Kosovo: result vs prediction

Israel 0 – 0 Kosovo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League B - 3 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Israel vs Kosovo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kosovo 46.4% 2.15 +23.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.0% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.8% 1.50 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.6% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Kosovo win 43.9% 2.28 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Israel28.1%
Draw25.4%
Kosovo46.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.0%
Under 2.527.0%
Both teams to scoreYes66.8%
No33.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.6%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)71.9%
Handicap -1Kosovo win43.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.3%
Loss35.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-29.1%
1-17.9%
1-37.7%

Israel vs Kosovo stats

Israel and Kosovo recent form

newest first
Israel LLWLLL
Kosovo LWLWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Israel vs Kosovo head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Israel wins 1Draws 1Kosovo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-11-12KosovoIsraelEuro Championship - Qualification1-0
2023-03-25IsraelKosovoEuro Championship - Qualification1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Israel vs Kosovo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.9%, draw 27.5%, away 40.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.07 3.46 2.40
Bet365 2.90 3.50 2.30
BetVictor 2.90 3.50 2.30
Betano 2.95 3.45 2.37
Betfair 3.00 3.25 2.30
Marathonbet 3.04 3.42 2.38
Pinnacle 3.10 3.41 2.40
SBO 2.85 3.23 2.32
William Hill 2.90 3.10 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.95 ▲ +0.07
X 3.42 ▲ +0.08
2 2.32 ▲ +0.01

8 snapshots recorded, from .