Switzerland
vs
Slovenia
2 – 1 Full time
| 2′ | Zan Vipotnik | ||
| 10′ | Erik Janža | ||
| 23′ | Zan Vipotnik | ||
| 28′ | David Zec | ||
| 29′ | Vanja Drkusic | ||
| 38′ | Dan Ndoye | ||
| 40′ | Michel Aebischer | ||
| 45′ | Vanja DrkusicDavid Brekalo | ||
| 58′ | Jaka Bijol | ||
| 64′ | Aljosa MatkoTjas Begic | ||
| 64′ | Sandi LovricAdam Gnezda Čerin | ||
| 67′ | Ricardo RodríguezSascha Britschgi | ||
| 67′ | Michel AebischerDjibril Sow | ||
| 77′ | Zeki AmdouniWinsley Boteli Mokango | ||
| 78′ | Zan VipotnikŽan Celar | ||
| 79′ | Erik Janža | ||
| 87′ | Zachary AthekameAdrian Bajrami | ||
| 87′ | Dan NdoyeFabian Rieder | ||
| 89′ | Danijel SturmTomi Horvat |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 67 | Possession % | 33 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 6 |
| 518 | Accurate passes | 216 |
Switzerland vs Slovenia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Switzerland vs Slovenia
| Probability | Switzerland | Draw | Slovenia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.3% | 32.2% | 15.5% |
| Market | 75.9% | 16.8% | 7.4% |
| Final | 70.0% | 20.6% | 9.4% |
| Edge | -23.6% | +15.4% | +8.2% |
Why Switzerland
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.55.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Switzerland and Slovenia expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.81
Switzerland and Slovenia attack and defence ratings
Switzerland
Slovenia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Switzerland vs Slovenia: result vs prediction
Switzerland 2 – 1 Slovenia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League B - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Switzerland vs Slovenia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Switzerland | 70.0% | 1.43 | -23.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.5% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Switzerland | 70.0% |
| Draw | 20.6% | |
| Slovenia | 9.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.9% |
| No | 68.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Switzerland win | 25.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.4% | |
| Loss | 47.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.2% |
| 0-0 | 17.4% | |
| 2-0 | 12.8% |
Switzerland vs Slovenia stats
Switzerland and Slovenia recent form
| Switzerland |
WWLDWW |
| Slovenia |
WDDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Switzerland vs Slovenia head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | Slovenia | Switzerland | World Cup - Qualification Europe | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-08 | Switzerland | Slovenia | World Cup - Qualification Europe | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Switzerland vs Slovenia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 75.9%, draw 16.8%, away 7.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.27 | 5.81 | 13.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 5.50 | 12.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 5.75 | 13.00 |
| Betano | 1.29 | 5.70 | 13.50 |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 5.50 | 12.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.26 | 5.75 | 13.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27 | 5.80 | 13.39 |
| SBO | 1.29 | 4.94 | 9.45 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.00 | 11.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .