Poland
vs
Romania
6 – 0 Full time
| 22′ | Radu Drăguşin | ||
| 24′ | Robert Lewandowski | ||
| 27′ | Valentin MihăilăAndrei Coubiș | ||
| 35′ | Virgil Ghiță | ||
| 39′ | Tudor Băluță | ||
| 42′ | Robert Lewandowski | ||
| 47′ | Robert Lewandowski | ||
| 49′ | Virgil Ghiță | ||
| 57′ | Karol Świderski | ||
| 62′ | Piotr Zieliński | ||
| 63′ | Wiktor NowakKacper Urbanski | ||
| 63′ | Matty CashNorbert Wojtuszek | ||
| 66′ | Jan Bednarek | ||
| 67′ | Dennis ManBogdan Racovitan | ||
| 67′ | Nicușor BancuAndrei Borza | ||
| 67′ | Ianis HagiMarius Marin | ||
| 71′ | Piotr ZielińskiBartosz Ślisz | ||
| 71′ | Sebastian SzymańskiMarcel Regula | ||
| 73′ | Andrei Borza | ||
| 78′ | Răzvan MarinCatalin Cirjan | ||
| 78′ | Nicola ZalewskiOskar Pietuszewski | ||
| 86′ | Robert Lewandowski |
Match stats
| 24 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 67 | Possession % | 33 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 9 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 591 | Accurate passes | 254 |
Poland vs Romania overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Poland vs Romania
| Probability | Poland | Draw | Romania |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.8% | 22.3% | 49.9% |
| Market | 58.7% | 22.7% | 18.6% |
| Final | 51.0% | 22.6% | 26.4% |
| Edge | -31.0% | -0.3% | +31.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Poland and Romania expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.74
Poland and Romania attack and defence ratings
Poland
Romania
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Poland vs Romania: result vs prediction
Poland 6 – 0 Romania
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League B - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Poland vs Romania markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Poland | 51.0% | 1.96 | -31.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Poland | 51.0% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| Romania | 26.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.2% |
| No | 28.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Poland win | 13.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.6% | |
| Loss | 71.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.9% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-2 | 6.9% |
Poland vs Romania stats
Poland vs Romania head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-06-10 | Poland | Romania | World Cup - Qualification Europe | 3-1 |
| 2016-11-11 | Romania | Poland | World Cup - Qualification Europe | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Poland vs Romania odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.7%, draw 22.7%, away 18.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 4.34 | 5.25 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.10 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 4.35 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 4.30 | 5.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63 | 4.36 | 5.11 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 4.01 | 4.72 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .