Romania
vs
Sweden
0 – 1 Full time
| 5′ | Nicușor Bancu | ||
| 13′ | Viktor Gyökeres | ||
| 45′ | Nicușor BancuLisav Naif Eissat | ||
| 48′ | Răzvan Marin | ||
| 53′ | Felix Beijmo | ||
| 54′ | Jesper KarlstromHugo Larsson | ||
| 54′ | Gabriel GudmundssonDaniel Svensson | ||
| 62′ | Alexander Bernhardsson | ||
| 69′ | Nicolae StanciuIanis Hagi | ||
| 69′ | Darius OlaruAlexandru Cicâldău | ||
| 69′ | Răzvan MarinValentin Mihăilă | ||
| 75′ | Besfort ZeneliHugo Bolin | ||
| 77′ | Sebastian NanasiSamuel Dahl | ||
| 82′ | Valentin Mihăilă | ||
| 83′ | Florin TănaseCatalin Cirjan | ||
| 89′ | Alexander BernhardssonHampus Skoglund | ||
| 90′ | Catalin Cirjan |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 464 | Accurate passes | 421 |
Romania vs Sweden overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Romania vs Sweden
| Probability | Romania | Draw | Sweden |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.2% | 19.4% | 53.4% |
| Market | 21.9% | 23.1% | 55.0% |
| Final | 23.2% | 22.2% | 54.6% |
| Edge | +5.3% | -3.7% | -1.7% |
Why Sweden
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.62 vs 1.92.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Romania and Sweden expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.54
Romania and Sweden attack and defence ratings
Romania
Sweden
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Romania vs Sweden: result vs prediction
Romania 0 – 1 Sweden
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League B - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Romania vs Sweden markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sweden | 54.6% | 1.83 | -1.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Romania | 23.2% |
| Draw | 22.2% | |
| Sweden | 54.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 16.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 79.6% |
| No | 20.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sweden win | 34.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 47.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 7.0% |
| 2-2 | 6.7% | |
| 1-3 | 6.2% |
Romania vs Sweden stats
Romania vs Sweden head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Sweden | Romania | UEFA Nations League | 2-1 |
| 2019-11-15 | Romania | Sweden | Euro Championship | 0-2 |
| 2019-03-23 | Sweden | Romania | Euro Championship | 2-1 |
| 2018-03-27 | Romania | Sweden | Friendlies | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Romania vs Sweden odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.9%, draw 23.1%, away 55.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.38 | 4.25 | 1.76 |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 4.10 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 4.40 | 4.00 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 4.30 | 4.10 | 1.82 |
| Betfair | 4.33 | 4.00 | 1.70 |
| Marathonbet | 4.33 | 4.20 | 1.74 |
| Pinnacle | 4.55 | 4.14 | 1.74 |
| SBO | 4.12 | 3.82 | 1.72 |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .