Northern Ireland
vs
Georgia
0 – 0 Full time
| 18′ | Giorgi Kochorashvili | ||
| 45′ | Giorgi KochorashviliGeorgiy Tsitaishvili | ||
| 65′ | Ethan GalbraithBrodie Spencer | ||
| 65′ | Zuriko DavitashviliGiorgi Chakvetadze | ||
| 65′ | Anzor MekvabishviliNodar Lominadze | ||
| 74′ | Gizo MamageishviliIrakli Yegoian | ||
| 74′ | Jamie DonleyJosh Magennis | ||
| 74′ | Patrick KellyKieran Morrison | ||
| 83′ | Nodar Lominadze | ||
| 86′ | Irakli Yegoian | ||
| 86′ | Budu ZivzivadzeGeorges Mikautadze | ||
| 86′ | Tom AtchesonPaddy McNair | ||
| 86′ | Isaac PriceCallum Marshall | ||
| 89′ | Georgiy Tsitaishvili |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 38 | Possession % | 62 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 253 | Accurate passes | 474 |
Northern Ireland vs Georgia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Northern Ireland vs Georgia
| Probability | Northern Ireland | Draw | Georgia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.5% | 30.5% | 16.0% |
| Market | 39.1% | 32.4% | 28.5% |
| Final | 42.7% | 31.9% | 25.3% |
| Edge | +14.4% | -1.9% | -12.5% |
Why Northern Ireland
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.62.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Northern Ireland below the model: +14.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Northern Ireland and Georgia expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.99
Northern Ireland and Georgia attack and defence ratings
Northern Ireland
Georgia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Northern Ireland vs Georgia: result vs prediction
Northern Ireland 0 – 0 Georgia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League B - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Northern Ireland vs Georgia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Northern Ireland | 42.7% | 2.34 | +14.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Northern Ireland | 42.7% |
| Draw | 31.9% | |
| Georgia | 25.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.7% |
| No | 64.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Northern Ireland win | 27.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.7% | |
| Loss | 46.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.5% |
| 0-0 | 14.9% | |
| 1-1 | 12.8% |
Northern Ireland vs Georgia stats
Northern Ireland and Georgia recent form
| Northern Ireland |
WDWLWL |
| Georgia |
LDLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Northern Ireland vs Georgia head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Georgia | Northern Ireland | UEFA Nations League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Northern Ireland vs Georgia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.1%, draw 32.4%, away 28.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.46 | 3.02 | 3.42 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 2.88 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.38 | 2.90 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.05 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 2.88 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.43 | 2.98 | 3.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.45 | 2.98 | 3.46 |
| SBO | 2.36 | 2.89 | 3.11 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 2.75 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .