Scotland
vs
Slovenia
1 – 2 Full time
| 30′ | Erik Janža | ||
| 31′ | Ryan Christie | ||
| 44′ | John McGinn | ||
| 54′ | David Zec | ||
| 56′ | Aljosa Matko | ||
| 66′ | Oliver McBurnieKieron Bowie | ||
| 66′ | Stephen WelshAaron Hickey | ||
| 68′ | Luis Binks | ||
| 71′ | Danijel Sturm | ||
| 72′ | Ryan ChristieJosh Mcpake | ||
| 73′ | Ben Gannon-DoakFindlay Curtis | ||
| 79′ | Zan VipotnikŽan Celar | ||
| 85′ | Mark Zabukovnik | ||
| 87′ | John McGinnRobbie Ure | ||
| 89′ | Aljosa MatkoSrđan Kuzmić | ||
| 90′ | Žan Celar |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 5 |
| 548 | Accurate passes | 464 |
Scotland vs Slovenia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Scotland vs Slovenia
| Probability | Scotland | Draw | Slovenia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.7% | 35.0% | 31.3% |
| Market | 52.1% | 28.4% | 19.5% |
| Final | 47.5% | 30.0% | 22.5% |
| Edge | -18.3% | +6.6% | +11.8% |
Why Scotland
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Scotland and Slovenia expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.86
Scotland and Slovenia attack and defence ratings
Scotland
Slovenia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Scotland vs Slovenia: result vs prediction
Scotland 1 – 2 Slovenia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League B - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Scotland vs Slovenia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Scotland | 47.5% | 2.11 | -18.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Scotland | 47.5% |
| Draw | 30.0% | |
| Slovenia | 22.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.9% |
| No | 62.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Scotland win | 12.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 66.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.0% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 1-0 | 13.5% |
Scotland vs Slovenia stats
Scotland vs Slovenia head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Slovenia | Scotland | UEFA Nations League | 0-0 |
| 2017-10-08 | Slovenia | Scotland | World Cup - Qualification Europe | 2-2 |
| 2017-03-26 | Scotland | Slovenia | World Cup - Qualification Europe | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Scotland vs Slovenia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.1%, draw 28.4%, away 19.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 3.48 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.30 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.30 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.60 | 5.30 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.25 | 4.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 3.44 | 4.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 3.35 | 5.26 |
| SBO | 1.76 | 3.29 | 4.69 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.10 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .