UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League B - 4

Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia

3 – 0 Full time

37′Agon Elezi
43′Fabian Rieder
45′Djibril SowJohan Manzambi
45′Vincent SierroArdon Jashari
59′Elmin RastoderAzer·Omeragic
59′Ljupche DorievMatej Gashtarov
70′Zeki AmdouniWinsley Boteli Mokango
70′Ricardo RodríguezZachary Athekame
70′Agon EleziTihomir Kostadinov
73′Johan Manzambi
81′Dan Ndoye
82′Enis BardhiLuka·Stankovski
82′Dimitar MitrovskiBojan Miovski
86′Dan NdoyeAlvyn Sanches

Swissporarena, LucerneReferee: Edgars Malcevs

Switzerland 87%
Draw 10%
FYR Macedonia 3%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 0
57 Possession % 43
8 Corners 3
12 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 2
0 Saves 4
424 Accurate passes 289

Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySwitzerlandDrawFYR Macedonia
Model82.8%12.4%4.8%
Market88.4%8.6%3.0%
Final87.0%9.5%3.5%
Edge-5.5%+3.8%+1.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Switzerland

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.88 vs 0.62.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Switzerland ↓ / FYR Macedonia → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 13% 3 12% 4+ 18% 11%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Switzerland and FYR Macedonia expected goals

Switzerland 2.88
FYR Macedonia 0.62

Total expected goals: 3.50

Switzerland and FYR Macedonia attack and defence ratings

Switzerland

Attack 1.51 +51%
Defence 0.66 -34%

FYR Macedonia

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 1.56 +56%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia: result vs prediction

Switzerland 3 – 0 FYR Macedonia

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League B - 4 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Switzerland 87.0% 1.15 -5.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.9% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score No 56.0% 1.79 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 96.5% 1.04 — —
Handicap -1 Switzerland win 64.2% 1.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Switzerland87.0%
Draw9.5%
FYR Macedonia3.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.9%
Under 2.532.1%
Both teams to scoreYes44.0%
No56.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)96.5%
12 (either side)90.5%
X2 (draw or away)13.0%
Handicap -1Switzerland win64.2%
Push (exactly one goal)18.6%
Loss17.2%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.6%
3-012.1%
4-08.7%

Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia stats

Switzerland and FYR Macedonia recent form

newest first
Switzerland WWWLDW
FYR Macedonia LLLLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Switzerland wins 0Draws 0FYR Macedonia wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-26FYR MacedoniaSwitzerlandUEFA Nations League0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 88.4%, draw 8.6%, away 3.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.09 11.30 37.00
Bet365 1.06 11.00 34.00
BetVictor 1.06 11.00 36.00
Betano 1.10 9.00 30.00
Betfair 1.06 11.00 31.00
Marathonbet 1.08 11.00 36.00
Pinnacle 1.07 12.43 31.20
SBO 1.09 9.45 21.16
William Hill 1.07 10.00 29.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.07 ▼ -0.05
X 11.00 ▲ +3.00
2 31.20 ▲ +12.20

6 snapshots recorded, from .