Bosnia & Herzegovina
vs
Poland
1 – 0 Full time
| 32′ | Armin Gigovic | ||
| 38′ | Nicola Zalewski | ||
| 42′ | Ermedin Demirović | ||
| 63′ | Matty CashNorbert Wojtuszek | ||
| 63′ | Karol ŚwiderskiMarcel Regula | ||
| 63′ | Zinedin SmajlovicEsmir Bajraktarević | ||
| 63′ | Ermin MahmićBenjamin Tahirovic | ||
| 76′ | Nikola Katić | ||
| 78′ | Haris TabakovićSamed Baždar | ||
| 78′ | Ermedin DemirovićJovo Lukić | ||
| 83′ | Jan Bednarek | ||
| 84′ | Ivan Bašić | ||
| 89′ | Wiktor NowakKacper Urbanski | ||
| 89′ | Mateusz ZukowskiOskar Pietuszewski | ||
| 89′ | Armin GigovicStjepan Radeljić | ||
| 90′ | Norbert Wojtuszek |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 12 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 303 | Accurate passes | 374 |
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland
| Probability | Bosnia & Herzegovina | Draw | Poland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.4% | 23.3% | 50.3% |
| Market | 32.6% | 27.8% | 39.7% |
| Final | 31.0% | 26.6% | 42.3% |
| Edge | -6.1% | -4.5% | +10.6% |
Why Poland
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.45.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Poland below the model: +10.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bosnia & Herzegovina and Poland expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.47
Bosnia & Herzegovina and Poland attack and defence ratings
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Poland
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland: result vs prediction
Bosnia & Herzegovina 1 – 0 Poland
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League B - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Poland | 42.3% | 2.36 | +10.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 31.0% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Poland | 42.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.3% |
| No | 32.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Poland win | 29.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 50.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 2-2 | 6.7% |
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland stats
Bosnia & Herzegovina and Poland recent form
| Bosnia & Herzegovina |
DWDLWL |
| Poland |
WLDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Poland | Bosnia & Herzegovina | UEFA Nations League | 0-0 |
| 2020-10-14 | Poland | Bosnia & Herzegovina | UEFA Nations League | 3-0 |
| 2020-09-07 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | Poland | UEFA Nations League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.6%, draw 27.8%, away 39.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.08 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.38 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.95 | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.30 |
| Marathonbet | 3.04 | 3.46 | 2.35 |
| Pinnacle | 3.02 | 3.42 | 2.44 |
| SBO | 2.82 | 3.26 | 2.32 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .