Bosnia & Herzegovina
vs
Sweden
1 – 1 Full time
| 31′ | Carl StarfeltEric Smith | ||
| 61′ | Viktor Gyökeres | ||
| 63′ | Edin DžekoHaris Tabaković | ||
| 76′ | Besfort ZeneliLucas Bergvall | ||
| 76′ | Alexander BernhardssonWilliot Swedberg | ||
| 76′ | Ermedin DemirovićJovo Lukić | ||
| 76′ | Ivan BašićErmin Mahmić | ||
| 80′ | Kerim Alajbegovic | ||
| 87′ | Nikola KatićZinedin Smajlovic | ||
| 87′ | Kerim AlajbegovicIvan Šunjić | ||
| 90′ | Sebastian NanasiKen Sema |
Match stats
| 4 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 388 | Accurate passes | 407 |
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden
| Probability | Bosnia & Herzegovina | Draw | Sweden |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.4% | 22.5% | 42.1% |
| Market | 34.4% | 26.3% | 39.3% |
| Final | 34.7% | 25.3% | 40.0% |
| Edge | +0.9% | -3.8% | +2.9% |
Why Sweden
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sweden below the model: +2.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bosnia & Herzegovina and Sweden expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.89
Bosnia & Herzegovina and Sweden attack and defence ratings
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Sweden
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden: result vs prediction
Bosnia & Herzegovina 1 – 1 Sweden
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League B - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sweden | 40.0% | 2.50 | +2.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 34.7% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Sweden | 40.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.1% |
| No | 25.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sweden win | 23.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.9% | |
| Loss | 58.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.5% |
| 1-2 | 7.8% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden stats
Bosnia & Herzegovina and Sweden recent form
| Bosnia & Herzegovina |
WDLWLD |
| Sweden |
WWLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.4%, draw 26.3%, away 39.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.83 | 3.68 | 2.46 |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.72 | 3.55 | 2.50 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.50 | 2.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.80 | 3.64 | 2.43 |
| Pinnacle | 2.80 | 3.67 | 2.47 |
| SBO | 2.65 | 3.37 | 2.41 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.30 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .