UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League B - 3

Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria

2 – 2 Full time

12′Troy Parrott
45′Troy Parrott
45′David AffengruberMaximilian Wöber
45′Nicolas SeiwaldKonrad Laimer
45′Carney ChukwuemekaMichael Gregoritsch
60′James Abankwah
63′Liam ScalesLiam Kitching
63′Adam IdahJayson Molumby
67′Romano SchmidAlexander Prass
71′Alexander Prass
75′James AbankwahJake O'Brien
75′Troy ParrottChiedozie Ogbene
77′Michael Gregoritsch
82′Ryan Manning
85′Maximilian Wöber
86′Jack MoylanThomas Cannon

Aviva Stadium, DublinReferee: Allard Lindhout

Rep. Of Ireland 26%
Draw 28%
Austria 47%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 7
42 Possession % 58
3 Corners 5
14 Fouls 17
0 Offsides 1
5 Saves 1
287 Accurate passes 441

Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRep. Of IrelandDrawAustria
Model22.4%22.6%55.0%
Market26.9%29.4%43.7%
Final25.7%27.7%46.6%
Edge-4.5%-6.8%+11.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Austria

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 1.33.
  • The market prices Austria below the model: +11.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rep. Of Irelan ↓ / Austria → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 5% 1 10% 9% 7% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Rep. Of Ireland and Austria expected goals

Rep. Of Ireland 1.33
Austria 2.14

Total expected goals: 3.47

Rep. Of Ireland and Austria attack and defence ratings

Rep. Of Ireland

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Austria

Attack 1.68 +68%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria: result vs prediction

Rep. Of Ireland 2 – 2 Austria

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League B - 3 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Austria 46.6% 2.15 +11.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.6% 1.50 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.2% 1.53 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.8% 2.23 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rep. Of Ireland25.7%
Draw27.7%
Austria46.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.6%
Under 2.533.4%
Both teams to scoreYes65.2%
No34.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.4%
12 (either side)72.3%
X2 (draw or away)74.3%
Handicap -1Austria win34.2%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss44.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.9%
1-29.5%
0-27.3%

Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria stats

Rep. Of Ireland and Austria recent form

newest first
Rep. Of Ireland WLDWWW
Austria WWLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Rep. Of Ireland wins 1Draws 0Austria wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2017-06-11Rep. Of IrelandAustriaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe1-1
2016-11-12AustriaRep. Of IrelandWorld Cup - Qualification Europe0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.9%, draw 29.4%, away 43.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.62 3.34 2.20
Bet365 3.50 3.25 2.15
BetVictor 3.50 3.20 2.15
Betano 3.45 3.30 2.18
Betfair 3.50 3.10 2.15
Marathonbet 3.58 3.30 2.17
Pinnacle 3.73 3.19 2.21
SBO 3.32 3.09 2.15
William Hill 3.40 3.00 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.50 ▲ +0.10
X 3.20 ▼ -0.10
2 2.15 ▲ +0.05

8 snapshots recorded, from .