UEFA Nations League
·
Full time
·League B - 3
Hungary
vs
Georgia
1 – 0 Full time
| 33′ | Otar Kiteishvili | ||
| 35′ | Milos Kerkez | ||
| 45′ | Irakli YegoianGiorgi Kochorashvili | ||
| 50′ | Otar KiteishviliAnzor Mekvabishvili | ||
| 57′ | Milan TóthDonat Barany | ||
| 57′ | Alex TóthMilan Vitális | ||
| 63′ | Georges MikautadzeBudu Zivzivadze | ||
| 63′ | Georgiy TsitaishviliGiorgi Kvernadze | ||
| 67′ | Giorgi Kochorashvili | ||
| 69′ | Zsolt NagyRajmund Tóth | ||
| 74′ | Milos Kerkez | ||
| 76′ | Giorgi ChakvetadzeZuriko Davitashvili | ||
| 80′ | Dániel LukácsGabor Jurek | ||
| 80′ | Dominik SzoboszlaiTamás Szűcs | ||
| 82′ | Tamás Szűcs | ||
| 85′ | Milan Vitális |
Hungary
42%
Draw
29%
Georgia
28%
Match stats
| 26 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 4 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 273 | Accurate passes | 407 |
Hungary vs Georgia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hungary vs Georgia
| Probability | Hungary | Draw | Georgia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.6% | 28.3% | 28.0% |
| Market | 41.9% | 29.5% | 28.6% |
| Final | 42.4% | 29.2% | 28.4% |
| Edge | +1.7% | -1.1% | -0.6% |
Why Hungary
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
49%
No goals
9%
Hungary and Georgia expected goals
Hungary
1.49
Georgia
1.13
Total expected goals: 2.62
Hungary and Georgia attack and defence ratings
Hungary
Attack
1.03 +3%
Defence
1.07 +7%
Georgia
Attack
0.76 -24%
Defence
1.36 +36%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hungary vs Georgia: result vs prediction
Hungary 1 – 0 Georgia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League B - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hungary vs Georgia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hungary | 42.4% | 2.36 | +1.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hungary | 42.4% |
| Draw | 29.2% | |
| Georgia | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% |
| No | 46.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hungary win | 22.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 55.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 9.6% | |
| 2-1 | 9.1% |
Hungary vs Georgia stats
Hungary vs Georgia head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Hungary vs Georgia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.9%, draw 29.5%, away 28.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.31 | 3.32 | 3.38 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.28 | 3.28 | 3.34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 3.13 | 3.11 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.25 ▲ +0.45
X
3.20 ▼ -0.30
2
3.30 ▼ -0.80
7 snapshots recorded, from .