Georgia
vs
Ukraine
0 – 0 Full time
| 17′ | Vladyslav Vanat | ||
| 45′ | Matviy PonomarenkoRoman Yaremchuk | ||
| 45′ | Oleksandr PikhalyonokOleg Ocheretko | ||
| 45′ | Vladyslav VanatDanylo Sikan | ||
| 46′ | Danylo Sikan | ||
| 54′ | Saba Goglichidze | ||
| 65′ | Maksym KhlanMykola Shaparenko | ||
| 67′ | Georges MikautadzeGiorgi Kvernadze | ||
| 73′ | Otar KiteishviliAnzor Mekvabishvili | ||
| 73′ | Giorgi ChakvetadzeZuriko Davitashvili | ||
| 75′ | Valeriy Bondar | ||
| 79′ | Oleksandr ZubkovViktor Tsygankov | ||
| 81′ | Anzor Mekvabishvili | ||
| 89′ | Oleg Ocheretko | ||
| 90′ | Giorgi KochorashviliIrakli Yegoian |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 4 | Corners | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 451 | Accurate passes | 503 |
Georgia vs Ukraine overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Georgia vs Ukraine
| Probability | Georgia | Draw | Ukraine |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.8% | 20.0% | 65.3% |
| Market | 34.8% | 30.3% | 34.8% |
| Final | 29.8% | 27.7% | 42.4% |
| Edge | -20.1% | -10.4% | +30.5% |
Why Ukraine
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Ukraine below the model: +30.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Georgia and Ukraine expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.41
Georgia and Ukraine attack and defence ratings
Georgia
Ukraine
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Georgia vs Ukraine: result vs prediction
Georgia 0 – 0 Ukraine
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League B - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Georgia vs Ukraine markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ukraine | 42.4% | 2.36 | +30.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Ukraine win | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Georgia | 29.8% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Ukraine | 42.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.0% |
| No | 40.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ukraine win | 43.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 34.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.7% |
| 0-2 | 9.1% | |
| 1-1 | 9.0% |
Georgia vs Ukraine stats
Georgia vs Ukraine head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-16 | Georgia | Ukraine | UEFA Nations League | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-11 | Ukraine | Georgia | UEFA Nations League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Georgia vs Ukraine odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.8%, draw 30.3%, away 34.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.76 | 3.22 | 2.79 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.77 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.63 |
| Marathonbet | 2.73 | 3.18 | 2.76 |
| Pinnacle | 2.75 | 3.21 | 2.80 |
| SBO | 2.54 | 3.00 | 2.49 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 2.90 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
21 snapshots recorded, from .