Georgia
vs
Northern Ireland
0 – 1 Full time
| 45′ | Saba KharebashviliGiorgi Chakvetadze | ||
| 64′ | Dan Ballard | ||
| 67′ | Ciaron Brown | ||
| 72′ | Ciaron BrownRuairi McConville | ||
| 73′ | Jamie DonleyJosh Magennis | ||
| 73′ | Patrick KellyBrodie Spencer | ||
| 77′ | Anzor MekvabishviliOtar Kiteishvili | ||
| 77′ | Giorgi KvernadzeZuriko Davitashvili | ||
| 85′ | Luka LochoshviliJemal Tabidze | ||
| 85′ | Saba GoglichidzeIlia Beriashvili | ||
| 86′ | Tom AtchesonCeadach O'Neill | ||
| 90′ | Dan BallardPaddy McNair | ||
| 90′ | Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | ||
| 90′ | Justin Devenny | ||
| 90′ | Shea Charles |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 4 | Saves | 4 |
| 514 | Accurate passes | 292 |
Georgia vs Northern Ireland overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Georgia vs Northern Ireland
| Probability | Georgia | Draw | Northern Ireland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.2% | 28.6% | 39.2% |
| Market | 51.1% | 27.8% | 21.0% |
| Final | 46.4% | 28.0% | 25.6% |
| Edge | -18.9% | +0.7% | +18.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Georgia and Northern Ireland expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.64
Georgia and Northern Ireland attack and defence ratings
Georgia
Northern Ireland
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Georgia vs Northern Ireland: result vs prediction
Georgia 0 – 1 Northern Ireland
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League B - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Georgia vs Northern Ireland markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Georgia | 46.4% | 2.15 | -18.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Georgia | 46.4% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Northern Ireland | 25.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.7% |
| No | 45.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Georgia win | 14.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.9% | |
| Loss | 67.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 0-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-2 | 8.6% |
Georgia vs Northern Ireland stats
Georgia and Northern Ireland recent form
| Georgia |
LLLLWL |
| Northern Ireland |
LWLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Georgia vs Northern Ireland head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Georgia vs Northern Ireland odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.1%, draw 27.8%, away 21.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.86 | 3.62 | 4.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.50 | 4.60 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.86 | 3.54 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 3.55 | 4.56 |
| SBO | 1.84 | 3.30 | 4.09 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .