UEFA Nations League · 2026-09-26T18:45:00Z UTC Full time ·League B - 1

FYR Macedonia vs Switzerland

0 – 3 Full time

22′			Remo Freuler
36′			Bojan Ilievski
41′			Zeki Amdouni
43′			Enis Bardhi
45′			Tihomir KostadinovDimitar Mitrovski
45′			Elmin RastoderAgon Elezi
49′			Matej Gashtarov
56′			Gjoko ZajkovAnes Meljichi
56′			Bojan MiovskiAzer·Omeragic
63′			Ricardo RodríguezSascha Britschgi
63′			Johan ManzambiDjibril Sow
74′			Zeki Amdouni
75′			Bojan IlievskiAndrej Stojchevski
75′			Dan NdoyeMichel Aebischer
75′			Fabian RiederAlvyn Sanches
78′			Azer·Omeragic
86′			Zeki AmdouniWinsley Boteli Mokango

Nacional Arena Todor Proeski, SkopjeReferee: Daniel Schlager

FYR Macedonia

10%

Draw

19%

Switzerland

71%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

2	Shots	23
0	Shots on target	11
42	Possession %	58
0	Corners	5
10	Fouls	7
1	Offsides	1
8	Saves	0
324	Accurate passes	514

FYR Macedonia vs Switzerland overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FYR Macedonia vs Switzerland

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	FYR Macedonia	Draw	Switzerland
Model	10.0%	15.5%	74.6%
Market	9.6%	20.1%	70.3%
Final	9.7%	19.0%	71.4%
Edge	+0.4%	-4.7%	+4.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Switzerland

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.03 vs 0.79.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
The market prices Switzerland below the model: +4.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

97%

2+ goals

90%

3+ goals

74%

No goals

FYR Macedonia and Switzerland expected goals

FYR Macedonia

0.79

Switzerland

3.03

Total expected goals: 3.83

FYR Macedonia and Switzerland attack and defence ratings

FYR Macedonia

Attack

1.06 +6%

Defence

1.63 +63%

Switzerland

Attack

1.39 +39%

Defence

0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FYR Macedonia vs Switzerland: result vs prediction

FYR Macedonia 0 – 3 Switzerland

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other League B - 1 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Austria vs Israel · 2026-09-24
Kosovo v Rep. Of Ireland — match page · 2026-09-24
Georgia v Northern Ireland — match page · 2026-09-25
Sweden vs Romania — team news & stats · 2026-09-25
Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina · 2026-09-25
Hungary vs Ukraine — team news & stats · 2026-09-25
Slovenia v Scotland — match page · 2026-09-26

Before and after this match

FYR Macedonia, next: Slovenia v FYR Macedonia analysis
Switzerland, next: Scotland v Switzerland analysis

FYR Macedonia vs Switzerland markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Switzerland	71.4%	1.40	+4.2%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	74.1%	1.35	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	60.6%	1.65	—	—
Double chance	X2 (draw or away)	90.3%	1.11	—	—
Handicap -1	Switzerland win	63.3%	1.58	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	FYR Macedonia	9.7%
	Draw	19.0%
	Switzerland	71.4%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	74.1%
	Under 2.5	25.9%
Both teams to score	Yes	60.6%
	No	39.4%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	28.6%
	12 (either side)	81.0%
	X2 (draw or away)	90.3%
Handicap -1	Switzerland win	63.3%
	Push (exactly one goal)	18.0%
	Loss	18.7%
Correct score (top 3)	1-2	8.6%
	0-2	8.5%
	1-3	8.2%

FYR Macedonia vs Switzerland stats

FYR Macedonia and Switzerland recent form

newest first

FYR Macedonia	LLDDWW
Switzerland	LDWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FYR Macedonia vs Switzerland head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

FYR Macedonia vs Switzerland odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 9.6%, draw 20.1%, away 70.3%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	10.10	4.86	1.38
Bet365	9.00	4.75	1.36
BetVictor	10.00	4.60	1.33
Betano	9.50	4.90	1.39
Betfair	10.50	4.60	1.30
Marathonbet	10.00	4.80	1.36
Pinnacle	10.14	4.83	1.36
SBO	9.64	4.52	1.33
William Hill	9.50	4.33	1.33

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 10.00 ▲ +2.50

X 4.75 ▲ +0.05

2 1.36 ▼ -0.02

18 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-18T08:10:01Z.