Sweden
vs
Romania
2 – 1 Full time
| 20′ | Alexander Isak | ||
| 29′ | Dennis Man | ||
| 37′ | Răzvan Marin | ||
| 43′ | Viktor Gyökeres | ||
| 45′ | Virgil Ghiță | ||
| 45′ | Tudor BăluțăVladimir Screciu | ||
| 63′ | Carl StarfeltHjalmar Ekdal | ||
| 63′ | Emil HolmDaniel Svensson | ||
| 67′ | Louis MunteanuValentin Mihăilă | ||
| 67′ | Ianis HagiFlorin Tănase | ||
| 76′ | Viktor GyökeresBenjamin Nygren | ||
| 77′ | Alexander BernhardssonPatrick Walemark | ||
| 81′ | Răzvan MarinNicolae Stanciu | ||
| 83′ | Vladimir Screciu | ||
| 84′ | Sebastian NanasiGabriel Gudmundsson | ||
| 86′ | Dennis Man | ||
| 88′ | Dennis ManVlad Dragomir | ||
| 90′ | Andrei Coubiș |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 6 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 0 | Saves | 2 |
| 522 | Accurate passes | 326 |
Sweden vs Romania overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sweden vs Romania
| Probability | Sweden | Draw | Romania |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.2% | 20.4% | 58.4% |
| Market | 65.7% | 20.0% | 14.3% |
| Final | 54.6% | 20.1% | 25.3% |
| Edge | -44.5% | +0.5% | +44.1% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sweden and Romania expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.02
Sweden and Romania attack and defence ratings
Sweden
Romania
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sweden vs Romania: result vs prediction
Sweden 2 – 1 Romania
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League B - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sweden vs Romania markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sweden | 54.6% | 1.83 | -44.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.2% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sweden | 54.6% |
| Draw | 20.1% | |
| Romania | 25.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.2% |
| No | 29.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sweden win | 10.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 12.2% | |
| Loss | 77.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.9% |
| 1-1 | 8.1% | |
| 1-3 | 7.2% |
Sweden vs Romania stats
Sweden vs Romania head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-11-15 | Romania | Sweden | Euro Championship | 0-2 |
| 2019-03-23 | Sweden | Romania | Euro Championship | 2-1 |
| 2018-03-27 | Romania | Sweden | Friendlies | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sweden vs Romania odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.8%, draw 19.9%, away 14.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.48 | 4.86 | 6.73 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 4.75 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 4.80 | 6.70 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.33 | 6.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 4.80 | 6.65 |
| Pinnacle | 1.46 | 4.84 | 6.72 |
| SBO | 1.43 | 4.40 | 6.18 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.20 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
16 snapshots recorded, from .