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UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League B - 1

Kosovo vs Rep. Of Ireland

1 – 0 Full time

61′Chiedozie OgbeneJack Moylan
66′Jayson Molumby
68′James Abankwah
73′Edon ZhegrovaErmal Krasniqi
73′Baton ZabergjaMilot Rashica
80′Troy ParrottAdam Idah
80′James AbankwahConor Coventry
83′Vedat Muriqi
87′Veldin HodzaErblin Osmani
88′Vedat MuriqiFisnik Asllani
88′John EganOwen Elding
88′Liam ScalesRyan Manning

Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri, PristinaReferee: Lawrence Visser

Kosovo 40%
Draw 30%
Rep. Of Ireland 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

22 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 1
57 Possession % 43
1 Corners 0
12 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 0
1 Saves 5
409 Accurate passes 293

Kosovo vs Rep. Of Ireland overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kosovo vs Rep. Of Ireland

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKosovoDrawRep. Of Ireland
Model40.8%29.5%29.7%
Market39.1%30.4%30.4%
Final39.6%30.2%30.2%
Edge+1.7%-0.9%-0.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kosovo ↓ / Rep. Of Irelan → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 14% 12% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 10%

Kosovo and Rep. Of Ireland expected goals

Kosovo 0.77
Rep. Of Ireland 1.60

Total expected goals: 2.38

Kosovo and Rep. Of Ireland attack and defence ratings

Kosovo

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Rep. Of Ireland

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kosovo vs Rep. Of Ireland: result vs prediction

Kosovo 1 – 0 Rep. Of Ireland

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League B - 1 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Kosovo vs Rep. Of Ireland markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kosovo 39.6% 2.53 +1.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.0% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.3% 1.95 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.8% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 83.1% 1.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kosovo39.6%
Draw30.2%
Rep. Of Ireland30.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.0%
Under 2.555.0%
Both teams to scoreYes51.3%
No48.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.8%
12 (either side)69.8%
X2 (draw or away)60.4%
Handicap -1Kosovo win5.3%
Push (exactly one goal)11.5%
Loss83.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
1-010.1%
0-09.7%

Kosovo vs Rep. Of Ireland stats

Kosovo and Rep. Of Ireland recent form

newest first
Kosovo LWDWWD
Rep. Of Ireland DWWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kosovo vs Rep. Of Ireland head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Kosovo vs Rep. Of Ireland odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.1%, draw 30.4%, away 30.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.48 3.16 3.22
Bet365 2.38 3.10 3.10
BetVictor 2.38 3.10 3.10
Betano 2.47 3.05 3.15
Betfair 2.25 2.90 3.10
Marathonbet 2.45 3.12 3.18
Pinnacle 2.45 3.16 3.24
SBO 2.41 2.99 2.95
William Hill 2.30 2.90 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.41 ▼ -0.39
X 3.10 ▲ +0.04
2 3.10 ▲ +0.55

14 snapshots recorded, from .