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UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League B - 2

Austria vs Kosovo

3 – 1 Full time

14′Kevin Danso
22′Ron Raqi
23′David Affengruber
45′Junior Chukwubuike Adamu
45′Ermal KrasniqiEdon Zhegrova
45′Baton ZabergjaMilot Avdyli
45′Veldin HodzaValmir Matoshi
58′Junior Chukwubuike AdamuSasa Kalajdzic
58′Maximilian WöberAlexander Prass
58′Romano SchmidCarney Chukwuemeka
61′Carney Chukwuemeka
65′Arijanet MurićAmir Saipi
68′Paul WannerVasilije Markovic
79′Nikolas VeratschnigMarco Friedl
80′Vedat MuriqiFisnik Asllani
81′David Affengruber
83′Edon Zhegrova
85′Valmir Matoshi

Ernst Happel Stadion, ViennaReferee: Nick Walsh

Austria 53%
Draw 24%
Kosovo 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 1
52 Possession % 48
5 Corners 1
21 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 1
0 Saves 3
444 Accurate passes 402

Austria vs Kosovo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Austria vs Kosovo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAustriaDrawKosovo
Model32.8%26.8%40.3%
Market60.3%22.6%17.1%
Final53.4%23.7%22.9%
Edge-27.5%+4.2%+23.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Austria ↓ / Kosovo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 6% 1 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Austria and Kosovo expected goals

Austria 1.39
Kosovo 1.55

Total expected goals: 2.94

Austria and Kosovo attack and defence ratings

Austria

Attack 1.60 +60%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Kosovo

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Austria vs Kosovo: result vs prediction

Austria 3 – 1 Kosovo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League B - 2 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Austria vs Kosovo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Austria 53.4% 1.87 -27.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.1% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.1% 1.66 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.1% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.9% 1.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Austria53.4%
Draw23.7%
Kosovo22.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.1%
Under 2.543.9%
Both teams to scoreYes60.1%
No39.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.1%
12 (either side)76.3%
X2 (draw or away)46.6%
Handicap -1Austria win15.6%
Push (exactly one goal)17.6%
Loss66.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
1-28.8%
2-17.9%

Austria vs Kosovo stats

Austria and Kosovo recent form

newest first
Austria WLDLWD
Kosovo WLWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Austria vs Kosovo head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Austria vs Kosovo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 60.3%, draw 22.6%, away 17.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.59 4.25 6.02
Bet365 1.53 4.20 5.75
BetVictor 1.53 4.10 6.00
Betano 1.62 4.25 5.70
Betfair 1.53 4.20 5.50
Marathonbet 1.61 4.15 5.55
Pinnacle 1.63 4.18 5.39
SBO 1.50 3.76 5.22
William Hill 1.57 3.75 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.57 ▲ +0.07
X 4.18 ▼ -0.22
2 5.55 ▼ -1.15

19 snapshots recorded, from .