UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League B - 2

Northern Ireland vs Hungary

0 – 0 Full time

16′Ethan Galbraith
31′Isaac Price
34′Bendeguz BollaAttila Osváth
42′Áron Csongvai
45′Jamie Donley
45′Michael Andrew Martin O'Neill
45′Willi Orbán
55′Tamás SzűcsAlex Tóth
55′Gabor JurekDonat Barany
70′Jamie DonleyBrodie Spencer
70′Patrick KellyDion Charles
76′Áron CsongvaiMilan Vitális
77′Dániel LukácsMilan Tóth
77′Shea Charles
88′Isaac PriceJosh Magennis

Puskás Aréna, BudapestReferee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea

Northern Ireland 31%
Draw 31%
Hungary 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 1
36 Possession % 64
3 Corners 2
15 Fouls 15
4 Offsides 0
1 Saves 3
242 Accurate passes 489

Northern Ireland vs Hungary overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Northern Ireland vs Hungary

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNorthern IrelandDrawHungary
Model24.7%28.5%46.8%
Market32.8%31.5%35.7%
Final30.8%30.7%38.5%
Edge-8.1%-3.1%+11.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Hungary

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.03.
  • The market prices Hungary below the model: +11.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Northern Irela ↓ / Hungary → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 11% 9% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Northern Ireland and Hungary expected goals

Northern Ireland 1.03
Hungary 1.52

Total expected goals: 2.55

Northern Ireland and Hungary attack and defence ratings

Northern Ireland

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Hungary

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Northern Ireland vs Hungary: result vs prediction

Northern Ireland 0 – 0 Hungary

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League B - 2 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Northern Ireland vs Hungary markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hungary 38.5% 2.60 +11.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.9% 1.86 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.0% 1.96 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.3% 1.44 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.7% 1.90 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Northern Ireland30.8%
Draw30.7%
Hungary38.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.1%
Under 2.553.9%
Both teams to scoreYes51.0%
No49.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.5%
12 (either side)69.3%
X2 (draw or away)69.2%
Handicap -1Hungary win24.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss52.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
0-110.8%
0-09.3%

Northern Ireland vs Hungary stats

Northern Ireland and Hungary recent form

newest first
Northern Ireland WLWLLW
Hungary LLWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Northern Ireland vs Hungary head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Northern Ireland wins 0Draws 1Hungary wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-03-29Northern IrelandHungaryFriendlies0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Northern Ireland vs Hungary odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.8%, draw 31.5%, away 35.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.91 3.18 2.68
Bet365 2.88 3.00 2.62
BetVictor 2.88 3.00 2.63
Betano 2.87 3.05 2.70
Betfair 2.88 2.88 2.70
Marathonbet 2.88 3.14 2.65
Pinnacle 3.01 2.95 2.76
SBO 2.76 2.92 2.59
William Hill 2.75 2.90 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.88 ▲ +0.38
X 3.00 —
2 2.65 ▲ +0.02

22 snapshots recorded, from .