UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League B - 2

Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

2 – 4 Full time

12′Armin Gigovic
16′Ermin Mahmić
19′Tarik Muharemovic
28′Daniel Birligea
40′Haris Tabaković
45′Valentin MihăilăLouis Munteanu
45′Darius OlaruAlexandru Cicâldău
55′Ermin Mahmić
62′Alexandru Cicâldău
63′Esmir BajraktarevićAjdin Hasić
63′Ermin MahmićErmedin Demirović
65′Vladimir ScreciuDavid Matei
65′Nicolae StanciuOlimpiu Moruțan
74′Haris TabakovićJovo Lukić
80′Tarik Muharemovic
81′Andrei BurcăTony Strata
81′Armin GigovicBenjamin Tahirovic
81′Sead KolašinacNihad Mujakić

Arena Națională, BucharestReferee: Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Romania 38%
Draw 28%
Bosnia & Herzegovina 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 7
56 Possession % 44
4 Corners 3
15 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 1
3 Saves 2
520 Accurate passes 392

Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRomaniaDrawBosnia & Herzegovina
Model33.4%25.8%40.8%
Market39.5%29.0%31.5%
Final38.0%28.2%33.8%
Edge-6.1%-3.2%+9.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Romania

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Romania ↓ / Bosnia & Herze → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 12% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Romania and Bosnia & Herzegovina expected goals

Romania 1.49
Bosnia & Herzegovina 1.67

Total expected goals: 3.16

Romania and Bosnia & Herzegovina attack and defence ratings

Romania

Attack 1.41 +41%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina: result vs prediction

Romania 2 – 4 Bosnia & Herzegovina

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League B - 2 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Romania 38.0% 2.63 -6.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.3% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.3% 1.58 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.8% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.8% 1.50 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Romania38.0%
Draw28.2%
Bosnia & Herzegovina33.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.3%
Under 2.539.7%
Both teams to scoreYes63.3%
No36.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.2%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)62.0%
Handicap -1Romania win16.1%
Push (exactly one goal)17.1%
Loss66.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
1-28.8%
2-17.9%

Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina stats

Romania and Bosnia & Herzegovina recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Romania wins 0Draws 3Bosnia & Herzegovina wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-11-15Bosnia & HerzegovinaRomaniaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe3-1
2025-03-21RomaniaBosnia & HerzegovinaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe0-1
2022-09-26RomaniaBosnia & HerzegovinaUEFA Nations League4-1
2022-06-07Bosnia & HerzegovinaRomaniaUEFA Nations League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.5%, draw 29.0%, away 31.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.39 3.48 3.08
Bet365 2.40 3.20 3.00
BetVictor 2.38 3.25 3.00
Betano 2.45 3.25 3.00
Betfair 2.40 3.20 2.90
Marathonbet 2.36 3.44 3.05
Pinnacle 2.44 3.37 3.07
SBO 2.34 3.17 2.87
William Hill 2.30 3.10 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.39 ▲ +0.44
X 3.25 ▼ -0.05
2 3.00 ▼ -0.75

18 snapshots recorded, from .