Israel
vs
Rep. Of Ireland
0 – 3 Full time
| 13′ | Troy Parrott | ||
| 16′ | Adam Idah | ||
| 25′ | Jack Moylan | ||
| 45′ | guy mizrahiDor Peretz | ||
| 59′ | Raz Shlomo | ||
| 59′ | Adam Idah | ||
| 64′ | Gabi KanikovskiEthane Azoulay | ||
| 64′ | Dor TurgemanIdan Toklomati Jorno | ||
| 68′ | James AbankwahJason Knight | ||
| 68′ | Jack MoylanKillian Phillips | ||
| 69′ | Adam IdahThomas Cannon | ||
| 76′ | Anan KhalailiEli Dasa | ||
| 76′ | Troy ParrottRocco Vata | ||
| 83′ | Roy RevivoIlay Feingold | ||
| 88′ | Jayson MolumbyJoel Bagan | ||
| 89′ | Conor Coventry |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 4 |
| 577 | Accurate passes | 280 |
Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland
| Probability | Israel | Draw | Rep. Of Ireland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.5% | 19.4% | 60.2% |
| Market | 34.5% | 29.7% | 35.8% |
| Final | 31.0% | 27.1% | 41.9% |
| Edge | -14.1% | -10.3% | +24.3% |
Why Rep. Of Ireland
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.46 vs 1.61.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Rep. Of Ireland below the model: +24.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Israel and Rep. Of Ireland expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.07
Israel and Rep. Of Ireland attack and defence ratings
Israel
Rep. Of Ireland
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland: result vs prediction
Israel 0 – 3 Rep. Of Ireland
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League B - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rep. Of Ireland | 41.9% | 2.39 | +24.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Israel | 31.0% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Rep. Of Ireland | 41.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.5% |
| No | 27.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rep. Of Ireland win | 36.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 44.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.4% |
| 1-3 | 7.3% | |
| 1-1 | 7.2% |
Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland stats
Israel and Rep. Of Ireland recent form
| Israel |
LWLLLW |
| Rep. Of Ireland |
LDWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Israel vs Rep. Of Ireland odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.5%, draw 29.7%, away 35.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.81 | 3.22 | 2.74 |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.67 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.63 |
| Marathonbet | 2.78 | 3.18 | 2.71 |
| Pinnacle | 2.81 | 3.21 | 2.74 |
| SBO | 2.59 | 3.06 | 2.65 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 2.90 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
20 snapshots recorded, from .