UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League B - 2

Scotland vs Switzerland

0 – 3 Full time

11′Jack Hendry
12′Ricardo Rodríguez
13′Kieron BowieStephen Welsh
45′Sebastien Pocognoli
55′Nico Elvedi
59′Nathan PattersonBen Gannon-Doak
59′Oliver McBurnieRobbie Ure
59′Billy GilmourRyan Christie
62′Ricardo RodríguezSascha Britschgi
63′Johan ManzambiFabian Rieder
70′Ardon JashariVincent Sierro
72′Stephen Welsh
74′Andrew RobertsonJosh Doig
82′Zeki Amdouni
86′Zeki AmdouniAlvyn Sanches
86′Dan NdoyeCédric Itten

Hampden Park Stadium, GlasgowReferee: Nenad Minakovic

Scotland 19%
Draw 25%
Switzerland 56%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

2 Shots 23
0 Shots on target 9
23 Possession % 77
2 Corners 6
14 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 0
6 Saves 0
160 Accurate passes 688

Scotland vs Switzerland overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Scotland vs Switzerland

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityScotlandDrawSwitzerland
Model9.6%19.5%70.9%
Market21.9%27.3%50.8%
Final18.9%25.3%55.8%
Edge-12.3%-7.8%+20.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Switzerland

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.24 vs 0.72.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Switzerland below the model: +20.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Scotland ↓ / Switzerland → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 13% 10% 9% 1 9% 9% 7% 7% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Scotland and Switzerland expected goals

Scotland 0.72
Switzerland 2.24

Total expected goals: 2.96

Scotland and Switzerland attack and defence ratings

Scotland

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Switzerland

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Scotland vs Switzerland: result vs prediction

Scotland 0 – 3 Switzerland

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League B - 2 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Scotland vs Switzerland markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Switzerland 55.8% 1.79 +20.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.9% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score No 53.9% 1.85 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 81.1% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Switzerland win 48.2% 2.07 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Scotland18.9%
Draw25.3%
Switzerland55.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.9%
Under 2.544.1%
Both teams to scoreYes46.1%
No53.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)44.2%
12 (either side)74.7%
X2 (draw or away)81.1%
Handicap -1Switzerland win48.2%
Push (exactly one goal)23.0%
Loss28.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-213.2%
0-111.1%
0-39.7%

Scotland vs Switzerland stats

Scotland and Switzerland recent form

newest first
Scotland DLLWWL
Switzerland WLDWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Scotland vs Switzerland head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Scotland wins 1Draws 0Switzerland wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-06-19ScotlandSwitzerlandEuro Championship1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Scotland vs Switzerland odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 21.9%, draw 27.3%, away 50.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 4.45 3.60 1.89
Bet365 4.33 3.50 1.83
BetVictor 4.33 3.40 1.85
Betano 4.30 3.50 1.88
Betfair 4.20 3.30 1.87
Marathonbet 4.40 3.56 1.87
Pinnacle 4.53 3.48 1.89
SBO 3.71 3.05 1.88
William Hill 4.00 3.25 1.85

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.33 ▲ +1.33
X 3.48 ▲ +0.38
2 1.87 ▼ -0.43

20 snapshots recorded, from .