UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League B - 4

Kosovo vs Austria

1 – 1 Full time

62′Patrick WimmerMarco Grüll
62′Alexander PrassChristoph Lang
62′Romano SchmidSaša Kalajdžić
67′Baton ZabergjaMilot Rashica
67′Vedat MuriqiFisnik Asllani
70′Fisnik Asllani
77′Nicolas SeiwaldMaximilian Wöber
81′Veldin HodžaVesel Demaku
81′Edon ZhegrovaErmal Krasniqi
85′Christoph Lang
88′Milot RashicaMeriton Korenica
90′Lumbardh Dellova

Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri, PristinaReferee: Antonio Nobre

Kosovo 26%
Draw 27%
Austria 47%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
36 Possession % 64
3 Corners 5
6 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 4
3 Saves 4
235 Accurate passes 500

Kosovo vs Austria overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kosovo vs Austria

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKosovoDrawAustria
Model23.1%25.6%51.3%
Market27.1%27.9%45.1%
Final26.1%27.3%46.6%
Edge-4.0%-2.2%+6.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Austria

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 1.14.
  • The market prices Austria below the model: +6.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kosovo ↓ / Austria → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 9% 9% 1 12% 10% 2 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 7%

Kosovo and Austria expected goals

Kosovo 1.14
Austria 1.77

Total expected goals: 2.91

Kosovo and Austria attack and defence ratings

Kosovo

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Austria

Attack 1.58 +58%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kosovo vs Austria: result vs prediction

Kosovo 1 – 1 Austria

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League B - 4 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Kosovo vs Austria markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Austria 46.6% 2.14 +6.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.3% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.2% 1.75 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 73.9% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.0% 2.04 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kosovo26.1%
Draw27.3%
Austria46.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.3%
Under 2.544.7%
Both teams to scoreYes57.2%
No42.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.4%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)73.9%
Handicap -1Austria win28.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.2%
Loss49.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
1-29.7%
0-18.7%

Kosovo vs Austria stats

Kosovo and Austria recent form

newest first
Kosovo DLWLWD
Austria DWWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kosovo vs Austria head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Kosovo wins 0Draws 1Austria wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-27AustriaKosovoUEFA Nations League3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kosovo vs Austria odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.1%, draw 27.9%, away 45.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.54 3.59 2.13
Bet365 3.50 3.40 2.05
BetVictor 3.40 3.50 2.05
Betano 3.55 3.40 2.12
Betfair 3.50 3.40 2.00
Marathonbet 3.50 3.55 2.10
Pinnacle 3.60 3.51 2.12
SBO 3.01 3.05 2.12
William Hill 3.30 3.25 2.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.50 ▲ +2.00
X 3.40 ▲ +0.40
2 2.10 ▲ +0.60

11 snapshots recorded, from .