Czechia
vs
Croatia
1 – 2 Full time
| 36′ | Lukáš Červ | ||
| 47′ | Luka Modrić | ||
| 54′ | Adam Karabec | ||
| 63′ | Igor MatanovicAnte Budimir | ||
| 63′ | Franjo IvanovicMarco Pašalić | ||
| 63′ | Luka SučićMario Pašalić | ||
| 66′ | Luka Vuskovic | ||
| 67′ | Lukáš ČervAlex Král | ||
| 67′ | Lukas AmbrosMatej Radosta | ||
| 74′ | Adam KarabecMartin Šubert | ||
| 76′ | Luka ModrićJosip Mišić | ||
| 77′ | Marco Pašalić | ||
| 83′ | Jiri SlamaOndrej Zmrzly | ||
| 83′ | Pavel ŠulcVaclav Sejk | ||
| 88′ | Petar SučićNikola Vlašić | ||
| 90′ | Vladimír Coufal |
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 6 | Fouls | 9 |
| 6 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 380 | Accurate passes | 489 |
Czechia vs Croatia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Czechia vs Croatia
| Probability | Czechia | Draw | Croatia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.0% | 19.9% | 57.1% |
| Market | 26.2% | 26.6% | 47.2% |
| Final | 25.4% | 25.0% | 49.7% |
| Edge | -3.2% | -6.7% | +10.0% |
Why Croatia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.70 vs 1.23.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Croatia below the model: +10.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Czechia and Croatia expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.93
Czechia and Croatia attack and defence ratings
Czechia
Croatia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Czechia vs Croatia: result vs prediction
Czechia 1 – 2 Croatia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League A - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Czechia vs Croatia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Croatia | 49.7% | 2.01 | +10.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Croatia win | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Czechia | 25.4% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Croatia | 49.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.1% |
| No | 25.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Croatia win | 47.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 32.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.2% |
| 1-1 | 7.2% | |
| 1-3 | 6.9% |
Czechia vs Croatia stats
Czechia vs Croatia head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-09 | Czechia | Croatia | World Cup - Qualification Europe | 0-0 |
| 2025-06-09 | Croatia | Czechia | World Cup - Qualification Europe | 5-1 |
| 2021-06-18 | Croatia | Czechia | Euro Championship | 1-1 |
| 2016-06-17 | Czechia | Croatia | Euro Championship | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Czechia vs Croatia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.2%, draw 26.6%, away 47.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.78 | 3.58 | 2.05 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.60 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 3.70 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 3.78 | 3.58 | 2.05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.81 | 3.54 | 2.04 |
| SBO | 3.46 | 3.35 | 2.00 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.30 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
18 snapshots recorded, from .