UEFA Nations League · Full time ·League A - 2

Czechia vs England

0 – 2 Full time

25′Pavel Šulc
35′Myles Lewis-Skelly
45′Adam KarabecOndrej Lingr
45′Myles Lewis-SkellyEberechi Eze
47′Anthony Gordon
56′Michal SadílekAlex Král
57′Matej RadostaLukas Ambros
69′Harry Kane
70′Elliot AndersonAlex Scott
71′Harry KaneJude Bellingham
71′Bukayo SakaRio Ngumoha
80′Adam HložekDaniel Vasulin
80′Lukáš ČervRoman Macek
81′Anthony GordonMorgan Gibbs-White

Sinobo Stadium, PragueReferee: Halil Umut Meler

Czechia 10%
Draw 17%
England 73%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

6 Shots 22
2 Shots on target 7
34 Possession % 66
1 Corners 6
9 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 3
4 Saves 2
280 Accurate passes 617

Czechia vs England overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Czechia vs England

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCzechiaDrawEngland
Model13.0%15.1%72.0%
Market9.5%17.3%73.2%
Final10.4%16.7%72.9%
Edge+3.5%-2.2%-1.2%

Confidence: Low

Why England

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.20 vs 1.40.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Czechia ↓ / England → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 1 7% 8% 14% 2 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 95%
3+ goals 84%
No goals 1%

Czechia and England expected goals

Czechia 1.40
England 3.20

Total expected goals: 4.60

Czechia and England attack and defence ratings

Czechia

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.23 +23%

England

Attack 1.91 +91%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Czechia vs England: result vs prediction

Czechia 0 – 2 England

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League A - 2 fixtures

UEFA Nations League

Before and after this match

Czechia vs England markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 England 72.9% 1.37 -1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82.9% 1.21 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.0% 1.39 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 89.6% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 England win 54.3% 1.84 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Czechia10.4%
Draw16.7%
England72.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.582.9%
Under 2.517.1%
Both teams to scoreYes72.0%
No28.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)27.1%
12 (either side)83.3%
X2 (draw or away)89.6%
Handicap -1England win54.3%
Push (exactly one goal)17.9%
Loss27.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-37.8%
1-27.4%
1-46.1%

Czechia vs England stats

Czechia and England recent form

newest first
Czechia LLDLDD
England LWLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Czechia vs England head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Czechia wins 0Draws 2England wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2021-06-22CzechiaEnglandEuro Championship0-1
2019-10-11CzechiaEnglandEuro Championship2-1
2019-03-22EnglandCzechiaEuro Championship5-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Czechia vs England odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 9.5%, draw 17.3%, away 73.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 10.20 5.65 1.32
Bet365 8.00 5.50 1.30
BetVictor 10.00 5.25 1.29
Betano 9.75 5.70 1.34
Betfair 10.50 5.50 1.29
Marathonbet 10.25 5.65 1.32
Pinnacle 10.67 5.77 1.30
SBO 7.43 4.51 1.31
William Hill 8.50 5.00 1.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 10.00 ▲ +4.50
X 5.50 ▲ +1.50
2 1.30 ▼ -0.20

24 snapshots recorded, from .