Denmark
vs
Wales
2 – 0 Full time
| 30′ | Patrick DorguMohammed Daramy | ||
| 35′ | Joakim Maehle | ||
| 48′ | Chris Mepham | ||
| 53′ | Ben Davies | ||
| 60′ | Charlie SavageJosh Sheehan | ||
| 65′ | Brennan Johnson | ||
| 66′ | Gustav Isaksen | ||
| 67′ | Kieffer MooreLewis Koumas | ||
| 67′ | Daniel JamesJordan James | ||
| 76′ | Gustav IsaksenAdam Daghim | ||
| 83′ | Brennan JohnsonWes Burns | ||
| 87′ | Mikkel DamsgaardVictor Froholdt | ||
| 87′ | Rasmus HojlundKasper Hogh |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 516 | Accurate passes | 297 |
Denmark vs Wales overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Denmark vs Wales
| Probability | Denmark | Draw | Wales |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.2% | 21.5% | 53.3% |
| Market | 66.6% | 20.1% | 13.3% |
| Final | 56.2% | 20.5% | 23.3% |
| Edge | -41.4% | +1.4% | +40.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Denmark and Wales expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.84
Denmark and Wales attack and defence ratings
Denmark
Wales
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Denmark vs Wales: result vs prediction
Denmark 2 – 0 Wales
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League A - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Denmark vs Wales markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Denmark | 56.2% | 1.78 | -41.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Denmark | 56.2% |
| Draw | 20.5% | |
| Wales | 23.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.5% |
| No | 28.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Denmark win | 12.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.4% | |
| Loss | 74.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.7% |
| 1-1 | 8.5% | |
| 2-2 | 6.8% |
Denmark vs Wales stats
Denmark vs Wales head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-26 | Wales | Denmark | Euro Championship | 0-4 |
| 2018-11-16 | Wales | Denmark | UEFA Nations League | 1-2 |
| 2018-09-09 | Denmark | Wales | UEFA Nations League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Denmark vs Wales odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.6%, draw 20.1%, away 13.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 4.70 | 7.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.50 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 4.70 | 7.10 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.47 | 4.70 | 7.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45 | 4.73 | 7.21 |
| SBO | 1.40 | 4.04 | 6.09 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.20 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
19 snapshots recorded, from .