Germany
vs
Greece
0 – 1 Full time
| 17′ | Yann Bisseck | ||
| 18′ | Georgios Vagiannidis | ||
| 22′ | Konstantinos Karetsas | ||
| 45′ | Georgios VagiannidisManolis Saliakas | ||
| 57′ | Panagiotis Retsos | ||
| 59′ | Christos ZafeirisDimitrios Kourbelis | ||
| 59′ | Andrews TettehFotis Ioannidis | ||
| 65′ | Kevin SchadeJonathan Burkardt | ||
| 65′ | Bambasé ContéFlorian Wirtz | ||
| 68′ | Dimitrios Kourbelis | ||
| 74′ | Dimitrios Kourbelis | ||
| 75′ | Karim AdeyemiSerge Gnabry | ||
| 81′ | Christos TzolisGeorgios Masouras | ||
| 84′ | Nathaniel BrownHennes Behrens | ||
| 84′ | Felix NmechaAnton Stach | ||
| 89′ | Vangelis PavlidisGiannis Michailidis |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 76 | Possession % | 24 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 5 |
| 668 | Accurate passes | 167 |
Germany vs Greece overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Germany vs Greece
| Probability | Germany | Draw | Greece |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.7% | 23.7% | 26.5% |
| Market | 67.0% | 19.0% | 14.0% |
| Final | 62.7% | 20.2% | 17.1% |
| Edge | -17.2% | +4.7% | +12.6% |
Why Germany
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 1.35.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Germany and Greece expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.46
Germany and Greece attack and defence ratings
Germany
Greece
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Germany vs Greece: result vs prediction
Germany 0 – 1 Greece
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League A - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Germany vs Greece markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Germany | 62.7% | 1.60 | -17.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Germany | 62.7% |
| Draw | 20.2% | |
| Greece | 17.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.0% |
| No | 34.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Germany win | 33.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 45.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-2 | 6.7% |
Germany vs Greece stats
Germany vs Greece head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-07 | Germany | Greece | Friendlies | 2-1 |
| 2012-06-22 | Germany | Greece | Euro Championship | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Germany vs Greece odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 67.0%, draw 19.0%, away 14.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.45 | 5.28 | 6.84 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.45 | 5.10 | 7.10 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 5.25 | 6.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43 | 5.06 | 7.03 |
| SBO | 1.39 | 4.84 | 6.18 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
20 snapshots recorded, from .