Norway
vs
Denmark
3 – 2 Full time
| 14′ | Oscar Bobb | ||
| 18′ | Erling Haaland | ||
| 25′ | Mikkel Damsgaard | ||
| 38′ | Rasmus Kristensen | ||
| 60′ | Rasmus Hojlund | ||
| 66′ | Fredrik AursnesDavid Moller Wolfe | ||
| 66′ | Patrick BergAndreas Schjelderup | ||
| 66′ | Oscar BobbThelo Aasgaard | ||
| 68′ | David Moller Wolfe | ||
| 70′ | Patrick Dorgu | ||
| 74′ | Erling Haaland | ||
| 75′ | Patrick DorguGustav Isaksen | ||
| 75′ | Victor FroholdtMads Bidstrup | ||
| 82′ | Rasmus HojlundKasper Hogh | ||
| 82′ | Mikkel DamsgaardAlbert Grönbaek | ||
| 88′ | Morten HjulmandThomas Jorgensen | ||
| 89′ | Antonio NusaKristian Thorstvedt | ||
| 90′ | Gustav Isaksen | ||
| 90′ | David Moller Wolfe |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 4 |
| 448 | Accurate passes | 464 |
Norway vs Denmark overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Norway vs Denmark
| Probability | Norway | Draw | Denmark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.2% | 19.8% | 25.0% |
| Market | 52.8% | 24.4% | 22.9% |
| Final | 53.4% | 23.2% | 23.4% |
| Edge | +2.5% | -4.6% | +2.1% |
Why Norway
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Norway below the model: +2.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Norway and Denmark expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.89
Norway and Denmark attack and defence ratings
Norway
Denmark
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Norway vs Denmark: result vs prediction
Norway 3 – 2 Denmark
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League A - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Norway vs Denmark markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Norway | 53.4% | 1.87 | +2.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Norway | 53.4% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| Denmark | 23.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 19.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.5% |
| No | 23.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Norway win | 9.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 11.6% | |
| Loss | 79.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.8% |
| 2-2 | 6.7% | |
| 1-1 | 6.7% |
Norway vs Denmark stats
Norway vs Denmark head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-08 | Denmark | Norway | Friendlies | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Norway vs Denmark odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.8%, draw 24.4%, away 22.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 4.00 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.33 |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 4.02 | 4.16 |
| SBO | 1.79 | 3.74 | 3.84 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.70 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .