Türkiye
vs
France
0 – 1 Full time
| 42′ | Arda Güler | ||
| 54′ | Kylian Mbappé | ||
| 59′ | Kylian MbappéDésiré Doue | ||
| 68′ | Salih Özcan | ||
| 72′ | Dayot Upamecano | ||
| 75′ | Can Yilmaz UzunKerem Aktürkoğlu | ||
| 76′ | Oğuz AydınEren Elmalı | ||
| 78′ | Michael OliseBradley Barcola | ||
| 78′ | Rayan CherkiEduardo Camavinga | ||
| 87′ | Uğurcan Çakır | ||
| 88′ | Baris Alper YilmazAltay Bayındır | ||
| 88′ | Ismail YüksekMelih Kabasakal | ||
| 90′ | Ousmane DembéléEsteban Lepaul | ||
| 90′ | Manu Koné | ||
| 90′ | Ferdi KadıoğluDeniz Gül | ||
| 90′ | Esteban Lepaul |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 36 | Possession % | 64 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 272 | Accurate passes | 560 |
Türkiye vs France overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Türkiye vs France
| Probability | Türkiye | Draw | France |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.5% | 21.8% | 48.7% |
| Market | 11.3% | 16.2% | 72.5% |
| Final | 15.8% | 17.6% | 66.6% |
| Edge | +18.2% | +5.5% | -23.8% |
Why France
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.26 vs 1.87.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Türkiye and France expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.14
Türkiye and France attack and defence ratings
Türkiye
France
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Türkiye vs France: result vs prediction
Türkiye 0 – 1 France
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League A - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
Türkiye vs France markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | France | 66.6% | 1.50 | -23.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Türkiye | 15.8% |
| Draw | 17.6% | |
| France | 66.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.0% |
| No | 26.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 33.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | France win | 28.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 53.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.2% |
| 1-1 | 8.1% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
Türkiye vs France stats
Türkiye vs France head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-10-14 | France | Türkiye | Euro Championship | 1-1 |
| 2019-06-08 | Türkiye | France | Euro Championship | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Türkiye vs France odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.2%, draw 16.3%, away 72.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.40 | 5.95 | 1.32 |
| Bet365 | 8.00 | 6.00 | 1.33 |
| BetVictor | 8.50 | 6.00 | 1.29 |
| Betano | 8.25 | 5.90 | 1.36 |
| Betfair | 8.50 | 5.50 | 1.30 |
| Marathonbet | 9.20 | 5.85 | 1.33 |
| Pinnacle | 8.73 | 5.84 | 1.32 |
| SBO | 7.05 | 5.42 | 1.32 |
| William Hill | 7.50 | 4.80 | 1.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
16 snapshots recorded, from .